Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua: prediction and stats
Super LeagueRegular Season - 29Kick-off on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC)Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, Dongguan
The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Sichuan Jiuniu. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
Shanghai Shenhua starts as the favourite with a 200-point Elo edge (1,704 vs 1,504).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Sichuan Jiuniu have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Shanghai Shenhua have 7, 2 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hangzhou Greentown(home) | 1-1 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 2-1 | Super League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(away) | 0-4 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Chongqing Tongliang Long(home) | 2-0 | Super League |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Yunnan Yukun(away) | 3-4 | Super League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chengdu Better City(away) | 5-4 | Super League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Beijing Guoan(home) | 0-3 | Super League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Henan Jianye(home) | 4-1 | Super League |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Qingdao Jonoon(away) | 1-0 | Super League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Shenyang Urban(away) | 1-3 | Super League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Sichuan Jiuniu win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Shanghai Shenhua win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Shanghai Shenhua 1-2 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Oct 31, 2025 | Shanghai Shenhua 1-0 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Sichuan Jiuniu 3-1 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
| Oct 27, 2024 | Shanghai Shenhua 2-2 Sichuan Jiuniu | Super League |
| Jul 17, 2024 | Sichuan Jiuniu 0-0 Shanghai Shenhua | FA Cup |
| May 26, 2024 | Sichuan Jiuniu 0-1 Shanghai Shenhua | Super League |
Last archived meeting: Shanghai Shenhua vs Sichuan Jiuniu on May 24, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Sichuan Jiuniu score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Shanghai Shenhua score 1.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 66% probability of over 2.5 goals and 66% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sichuan Jiuniu | 1.5 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 9/15 |
| Shanghai Shenhua | 1.9 | 1.7 | 2 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Sichuan Jiuniu sit 9th in Super League (17 points from 15 matches) and Shanghai Shenhua sit 12th (13 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Shanghai Shenhua | 24 | 11 | 5 | 8 | 47 | 42 | 28 |
| 9 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 15 | 5 | 2 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 17 |
| 10 | Sichuan Jiuniu | 24 | 8 | 3 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 27 |
| 12 | Shanghai Shenhua | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 24 | 13 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua?
- The Footlab model makes Shanghai Shenhua the favourite at 48%, against 23% for a draw and 29% for Sichuan Jiuniu.
- Where and when is Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua played?
- Sichuan Jiuniu vs Shanghai Shenhua is played on October 24, 2026 at 07:30 AM (UTC) at Wuhua Hengpi Football Town, in the Super League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 66% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 24, 2026Tianjin TedavsSHANGHAI SIPG
- Oct 24, 2026Henan JianyevsBeijing Guoan
- Oct 24, 2026Chengdu Better CityvsDalian Zhixing
- Oct 24, 2026Shenyang UrbanvsHangzhou Greentown
- Oct 24, 2026Wuhan Three TownsvsShandong Luneng
- Oct 24, 2026Qingdao Youth IslandvsYunnan Yukun
- Oct 24, 2026Chongqing Tongliang LongvsQingdao Jonoon