Where and when is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets played?

Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ekspress, in the Cup.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets: prediction and stats

CupRegions Path - 3rd RoundKick-off on August 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ekspress, Velikiye Luki

Luki-Energiya

Cherepovets

The Footlab model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cherepovets. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?

A very open match: only 65 Elo points separate Luki-Energiya (1,690) and Cherepovets (1,625).

Luki-Energiya win57 %

Draw24 %

Cherepovets win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Luki-Energiya have 9 wins, 3 draws and 3 defeats; Cherepovets have 4, 4 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Luki-Energiya
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Dinamo Vologda(away)	2-2	Second League - Group 2
Aug 16, 2026	Baltika II(home)	1-3	Second League - Group 2
Aug 12, 2026	Zvezda St. Petersburg(away)	2-1	Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Yenisey II(away)	0-1	Second League - Group 2
Aug 2, 2026	Chertanovo Moscow(home)	3-2	Second League - Group 2

Cherepovets
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Dinamo St. Petersburg(away)	0-0	Second League - Group 2
Aug 12, 2026	FC Tosno(away)	0-0	Cup
Aug 9, 2026	Spartak Moscow 2(home)	1-1	Second League - Group 2
Aug 2, 2026	Tver(away)	0-5	Second League - Group 2
Jul 26, 2026	Iskra Smolensk(home)	2-1	Second League - Group 2

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Luki-Energiya win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Cherepovets win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jul 5, 2026	Luki-Energiya 3-0 Cherepovets	Second League - Group 2
Sep 14, 2025	Cherepovets 1-0 Luki-Energiya	Second League - Group 2
Sep 10, 2025	Luki-Energiya 2-4 Cherepovets	Cup
May 25, 2025	Luki-Energiya 1-1 Cherepovets	Second League - Group 2

Last archived meeting: Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets on Jul 5, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Luki-Energiya score 1.7 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Cherepovets score 0.9 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Luki-Energiya	1.7	1.0	5	9/15	9/15
Cherepovets	0.9	1.7	4	7/15	8/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets?: The Footlab model makes Luki-Energiya the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Cherepovets.
Where and when is Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets played?: Luki-Energiya vs Cherepovets is played on August 27, 2026 at 01:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ekspress, in the Cup.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.