Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948: prediction and stats
First LeagueMatchday 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Ticha, Varna
The Footlab AI model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cherno More Varna. The most likely score is 1-1. If CSKA 1948 wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 5,441 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 11, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
CSKA 1948 starts as the favourite with a 155-point Elo edge (1,921 vs 1,765).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Cherno More Varna
4-2-3-1- 10Celso Sidney
- 71V. Panayotov
- 24David Teles
- 29B. Beyhan
- 99I. Bounaas
- 11M. Achi
- 37V. Kerchev
- 50E. Tombak
- 5L. Squadrone
- 3Z. Atanasov
- 81K. Tomov
CSKA 1948
4-1-3-2- 11G. Rusev
- 77Elias Franco
- 8M. Zemzemi
- 30J. Meyer
- 20B. Sobrero
- 10B. Tsonev
- 33H. Cuellar
- 3L. Dvali
- 6Emerson
- 5B. Benamar
- 31A. Bozhev
Computed on November 11, 2026 at 07:42 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cherno More Varna have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; CSKA 1948 have 9, 2 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Nov 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Oct 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 0-1 | Pro Cup |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Marek(away) | 3-0 | Cup |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-1 | First League |
| Oct 23, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 4-0 | First League |
| Oct 16, 2026 | Neftochimic Burgas(away) | 4-0 | Cup |
| Oct 11, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 2-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Cherno More Varna wins, 1 draw, 2 CSKA 1948 wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 14, 2026 | CSKA 1948 4-1 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Apr 15, 2026 | Cherno More Varna 0-4 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Nov 9, 2025 | CSKA 1948 0-1 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Nov 24, 2024 | CSKA 1948 0-4 Cherno More Varna | First League |
| Jul 19, 2024 | Cherno More Varna 0-0 CSKA 1948 | First League |
| Mar 15, 2024 | Cherno More Varna 2-1 CSKA 1948 | First League |
Last archived meeting: CSKA 1948 vs Cherno More Varna on Aug 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cherno More Varna score 1.1 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; CSKA 1948 score 2.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cherno More Varna | 1.1 | 1.6 | 4 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| CSKA 1948 | 2.3 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cherno More Varna sit 9th in First League (13 points from 14 matches) and CSKA 1948 sit 4th (29 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | CSKA 1948 | 14 | 9 | 2 | 3 | 33 | 16 | 29 |
| 9 | Cherno More Varna | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 14 | 22 | 13 |
A question about Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948?
- The Footlab AI model makes CSKA 1948 the favourite at 51%, against 26% for a draw and 23% for Cherno More Varna.
- Where and when is Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 played?
- Cherno More Varna vs CSKA 1948 is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Ticha, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.