Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Septemvri Sofia. The most likely score is 1-1. If Spartak Varna wins, the most likely score is 0-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,365 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 13, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
A very open match: only 63 Elo points separate Septemvri Sofia (1,627) and Spartak Varna (1,690).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Septemvri Sofia
4-2-3-1- 29F. Herard
- 5Y. Baurenski
- 6Pedro Ferreira
- 8B. Penchev
- 33G. Ivanov
- 13K. Önaşçı
- 4M. Hristov
- 26V. Ozornwafor
- 15P. Gospodinov
- 3Sebastian Wade
- 12V. Ivanov
Spartak Varna
4-2-3-1- 11Boubacar Hanne
- 19S. Major
- 6José Ricardo Gomes Sousa
- 17T. Marinov
- 82Tomás Silva
- 7Buá
- 76David Valverde
- 44A. Granchov
- 4B. Ivanov
- 45J. Tshitoku
- 23P. Iliev
Computed on October 13, 2026 at 11:53 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Septemvri Sofia have 5 wins, 2 draws and 8 defeats; Spartak Varna have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 11, 2026 | Dunav Ruse(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 0-3 | First League |
| Sep 14, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-2 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-3 | First League |
| Aug 28, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 0-1 | First League |
| Sep 13, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(away) | 0-0 | First League |
| Sep 5, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 30, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-1 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Septemvri Sofia wins, 1 draw, 2 Spartak Varna wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Spartak Varna 0-1 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| May 14, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 1-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Apr 16, 2026 | Septemvri Sofia 0-0 Spartak Varna | First League |
| Nov 7, 2025 | Spartak Varna 1-4 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Mar 16, 2025 | Spartak Varna 4-2 Septemvri Sofia | First League |
| Sep 30, 2024 | Septemvri Sofia 0-1 Spartak Varna | First League |
Last archived meeting: Spartak Varna vs Septemvri Sofia on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Septemvri Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Spartak Varna score 1.5 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Septemvri Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Spartak Varna | 1.5 | 1.3 | 6 | 5/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Septemvri Sofia sit 13th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Spartak Varna sit 7th (13 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Spartak Varna | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 11 | 15 | 13 |
| 13 | Septemvri Sofia | 11 | 2 | 2 | 7 | 10 | 21 | 8 |
A question about Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna?
- The Footlab AI model makes Spartak Varna the favourite at 38%, against 28% for a draw and 34% for Septemvri Sofia.
- Where and when is Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna played?
- Septemvri Sofia vs Spartak Varna is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.