Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, Sofia
The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Slavia Sofia. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
Levski Sofia is a heavy favourite: 2,050 Elo points against 1,745 — a 305-point gap.
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Levski Sofia have 11 wins, 4 draws and 0 defeats; Slavia Sofia have 4, 5 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 6-0 | First League |
| Aug 18, 2026 | AEK Athens FC(home) | 0-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(away) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Kairat Almaty(home) | 1-0 | UEFA Champions League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(away) | 3-0 | First League |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Jul 24, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali(away) | 0-1 | First League |
| Jul 20, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-0 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Levski Sofia win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Slavia Sofia win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Dec 4, 2025 | Slavia Sofia 2-0 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Aug 3, 2025 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Mar 9, 2025 | Levski Sofia 3-3 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Sep 22, 2024 | Slavia Sofia 0-1 Levski Sofia | First League |
| Mar 29, 2024 | Levski Sofia 2-0 Slavia Sofia | First League |
| Sep 27, 2023 | Slavia Sofia 0-2 Levski Sofia | First League |
Last archived meeting: Slavia Sofia vs Levski Sofia on Dec 4, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Levski Sofia score 2.5 and concede 0.4 goals per match over their last 15; Slavia Sofia score 1.0 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 37% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Levski Sofia | 2.5 | 0.4 | 10 | 5/15 | 8/15 |
| Slavia Sofia | 1.0 | 1.2 | 4 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Levski Sofia sit 2nd in First League (15 points from 5 matches) and Slavia Sofia sit 9th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Levski Sofia | 5 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 15 | 2 | 15 |
| 9 | Slavia Sofia | 5 | 1 | 3 | 1 | 5 | 3 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia?
- The Footlab model makes Levski Sofia the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 6% for Slavia Sofia.
- Where and when is Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia played?
- Levski Sofia vs Slavia Sofia is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Georgi Asparuhov, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.