Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Hristo Botev, Plovdiv
The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Botev Plovdiv. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
Ludogorets starts as the favourite with a 186-point Elo edge (1,987 vs 1,800).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Botev Plovdiv have 7 wins, 1 draws and 7 defeats; Ludogorets have 7, 5 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-2 | First League |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Spartak Varna(home) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-0 | First League |
| Jul 27, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 2-3 | First League |
| Jul 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Slavia Sofia(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-0 | First League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 3-2 | First League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Botev Vratsa(home) | 2-1 | First League |
| Jul 30, 2026 | Hapoel Tel Aviv(home) | 2-2 | UEFA Europa Conference League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Botev Plovdiv win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Ludogorets win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Ludogorets 2-0 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Feb 23, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv 2-1 Ludogorets | First League |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Ludogorets 2-1 Botev Plovdiv | First League |
| Feb 27, 2025 | Ludogorets 0-0 Botev Plovdiv | Cup |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Ludogorets 3-2 Botev Plovdiv | Super Cup |
| Dec 19, 2024 | Botev Plovdiv 2-4 Ludogorets | First League |
Last archived meeting: Ludogorets vs Botev Plovdiv on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Botev Plovdiv score 1.6 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ludogorets score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Botev Plovdiv | 1.6 | 1.3 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Ludogorets | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Botev Plovdiv sit 6th in First League (7 points from 5 matches) and Ludogorets sit 1st (16 points from 6 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ludogorets | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 11 | 4 | 16 |
| 6 | Botev Plovdiv | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 8 | 7 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets?
- The Footlab model makes Ludogorets the favourite at 40%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Botev Plovdiv.
- Where and when is Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets played?
- Botev Plovdiv vs Ludogorets is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Hristo Botev, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.