Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali: prediction and stats
First LeagueRegular Season - 18Kick-off on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Sofia
The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Arda Kardzhali. The most likely score is 1-1. If Lokomotiv Sofia wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,466 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
On Elo ratings, Lokomotiv Sofia has 1,684 points and Arda Kardzhali 1,790.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Lokomotiv Sofia
4-2-3-1- 7S. Delev
- 31K. Stanoev
- 20D. Kostadinov
- 16M. Medfai
- 5E. Dost
- 44B. Katsarov
- 14A. Lyaskov
- 3K. Kostov
- 91R. Bidounga
- 6Eirô
- 99M. Velichkov
Arda Kardzhali
4-2-3-1- 10S. Kovachev
- 80L. Kotev
- 39A. Vutov
- 8D. Yankov
- 4David Akintola Idowu
- 26B. Akandzha
- 21V. Velev
- 6V. Popov
- 24M. Paskalev
- 5V. Lyubenov
- 1A. Gospodinov
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv Sofia have 2 wins, 7 draws and 6 defeats; Arda Kardzhali have 6, 2 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 20, 2026 | Spartak Varna(away) | 1-0 | First League |
| Sep 16, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(home) | 0-2 | First League |
| Sep 11, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(away) | 2-2 | First League |
| Sep 6, 2026 | Ludogorets(home) | 1-2 | First League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12, 2026 | Ludogorets(away) | 0-5 | First League |
| Oct 2, 2026 | Lokomotiv Plovdiv(away) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Cherno More Varna(home) | 1-1 | First League |
| Sep 12, 2026 | CSKA Sofia(away) | 1-4 | First League |
| Sep 4, 2026 | Botev Plovdiv(home) | 2-3 | First League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Lokomotiv Sofia wins, 2 draws, 4 Arda Kardzhali wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Arda Kardzhali 3-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Nov 28, 2025 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-0 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Jul 27, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 1-1 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Apr 13, 2025 | Arda Kardzhali 5-0 Lokomotiv Sofia | First League |
| Nov 2, 2024 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-2 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Lokomotiv Sofia 0-1 Arda Kardzhali | First League |
Last archived meeting: Arda Kardzhali vs Lokomotiv Sofia on Aug 17, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv Sofia score 1.1 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Arda Kardzhali score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv Sofia | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Arda Kardzhali | 1.1 | 1.5 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv Sofia sit 12th in First League (8 points from 11 matches) and Arda Kardzhali sit 6th (17 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Arda Kardzhali | 11 | 5 | 2 | 4 | 15 | 17 | 17 |
| 12 | Lokomotiv Sofia | 11 | 1 | 5 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 8 |
A question about Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali?
- The Footlab AI model makes Lokomotiv Sofia the favourite at 39%, against 28% for a draw and 33% for Arda Kardzhali.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali played?
- Lokomotiv Sofia vs Arda Kardzhali is played on February 13, 2027 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the First League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.