CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Dragalevtsi, Sofia
The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Sportist Svoge. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge?
CSKA Sofia II starts as the favourite with a 196-point Elo edge (1,737 vs 1,541).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, CSKA Sofia II have 10 wins, 2 draws and 3 defeats; Sportist Svoge have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 11, 2026 | Hebar 1918(home) | 4-3 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(away) | 3-0 | Second League |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Vihren(away) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Jul 11, 2026 | Rilski Sportist(away) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Yantra 2019(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Nesebar(home) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Pirin Blagoevgrad(home) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Dobrudzha(away) | 0-0 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Montana(home) | 2-2 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 2 CSKA Sofia II win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Sportist Svoge win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 10, 2026 | Sportist Svoge 0-1 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Oct 3, 2025 | CSKA Sofia II 6-0 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
| Feb 17, 2025 | Sportist Svoge 0-0 CSKA Sofia II | Second League |
| Aug 4, 2024 | CSKA Sofia II 1-2 Sportist Svoge | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Sportist Svoge vs CSKA Sofia II on Apr 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
CSKA Sofia II score 1.9 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Sportist Svoge score 0.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 41% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| CSKA Sofia II | 1.9 | 0.9 | 7 | 6/15 | 7/15 |
| Sportist Svoge | 0.7 | 1.1 | 6 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
CSKA Sofia II sit 2nd in Second League (10 points from 4 matches) and Sportist Svoge sit 16th (5 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | CSKA Sofia II | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 9 | 4 | 10 |
| 16 | Sportist Svoge | 5 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge?
- The Footlab model makes CSKA Sofia II the favourite at 77%, against 16% for a draw and 7% for Sportist Svoge.
- Where and when is CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge played?
- CSKA Sofia II vs Sportist Svoge is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Dragalevtsi, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026BeroevsYantra 2019
- Sep 26, 2026Ludogorets IIvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 26, 2026Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsavsMarek
- Sep 26, 2026Hebar 1918vsDobrudzha
- Sep 26, 2026VihrenvsNesebar
- Sep 26, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsMontana
- Sep 26, 2026Rilski SportistvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 26, 2026FratriavsSpartak Pleven