Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek: prediction and stats
Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,552) and Marek (1,644).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 21, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home) | 2-1 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Fratria(home) | 0-2 | Second League |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Ludogorets II(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home) | 1-1 | Second League |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Dobrudzha(home) | 4-2 | Second League |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Montana(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 7, 2026 | Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away) | 0-1 | Second League |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Spartak Pleven(away) | 1-2 | Second League |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Fratria(away) | 1-0 | Second League |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marek win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 21, 2026 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-1 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 13, 2025 | Marek 1-1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 4-1 Marek | Second League |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Marek 2-0 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | Second League |
Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek on Mar 21, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 0.9 | 1.9 | 2 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Marek | 1.0 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2 | 5 | 6 | 7 |
| 11 | Marek | 5 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 6 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?
- The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marek.
- Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek played?
- Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Sep 26, 2026BeroevsYantra 2019
- Sep 26, 2026Ludogorets IIvsEtar Veliko Tarnovo
- Sep 26, 2026CSKA Sofia IIvsSportist Svoge
- Sep 26, 2026Hebar 1918vsDobrudzha
- Sep 26, 2026VihrenvsNesebar
- Sep 26, 2026Chernomorets 1919 BurgasvsMontana
- Sep 26, 2026Rilski SportistvsPirin Blagoevgrad
- Sep 26, 2026FratriavsSpartak Pleven