Match

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Lokomotiv, Gorna Oryahovitsa

Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaMarek

The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marek. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?

A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa (1,552) and Marek (1,644).

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win35 %
Draw30 %
Marek win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa have 4 wins, 2 draws and 9 defeats; Marek have 7, 3 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 21, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(home)2-1Second League
Aug 16, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-0Second League
Aug 9, 2026Fratria(home)0-2Second League
Aug 3, 2026Ludogorets II(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Chernomorets 1919 Burgas(home)1-1Second League
Marek
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Dobrudzha(home)4-2Second League
Aug 16, 2026Montana(away)0-1Second League
Aug 7, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)0-1Second League
Aug 1, 2026Spartak Pleven(away)1-2Second League
Jul 25, 2026Fratria(away)1-0Second League

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 1 Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Marek win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 21, 2026Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 0-1 MarekSecond League
Sep 13, 2025Marek 1-1 Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League
Mar 29, 2025Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa 4-1 MarekSecond League
Sep 14, 2024Marek 2-0 Lokomotiv G. OryahovitsaSecond League

Last archived meeting: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek on Mar 21, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa score 0.9 and concede 1.9 goals per match over their last 15; Marek score 1.0 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 40% probability of over 2.5 goals and 47% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa0.91.928/1510/15
Marek1.00.974/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa sit 9th in Second League (7 points from 5 matches) and Marek sit 11th (6 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa5212567
11Marek5203666

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek?
The Footlab model makes Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Marek.
Where and when is Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek played?
Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa vs Marek is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Lokomotiv, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 40% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Lokomotiv G. Oryahovitsa and Marek

Ready to know everything about football?