Match

Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad: prediction and stats

Second LeagueRegular Season - 11Kick-off on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Iskar, Samokov

Rilski SportistPirin Blagoevgrad

The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Pirin Blagoevgrad. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?

A very open match: only 53 Elo points separate Rilski Sportist (1,583) and Pirin Blagoevgrad (1,530).

Rilski Sportist win52 %
Draw26 %
Pirin Blagoevgrad win22 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rilski Sportist have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Pirin Blagoevgrad have 2, 4 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Rilski Sportist
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Montana(home)2-1Second League
Aug 15, 2026Etar Veliko Tarnovo(away)1-1Second League
Aug 9, 2026Spartak Pleven(home)2-2Second League
Aug 1, 2026Fratria(away)0-1Second League
Jul 28, 2026Ludogorets II(home)0-1Second League
Pirin Blagoevgrad
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Nesebar(away)0-7Second League
Aug 18, 2026Hebar 1918(home)2-3Second League
Aug 9, 2026Sportist Svoge(away)0-1Second League
Aug 3, 2026CSKA Sofia II(home)0-3Second League
Jul 28, 2026Dobrudzha(away)1-5Second League

How many goals should we expect?

Rilski Sportist score 1.0 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; Pirin Blagoevgrad score 0.8 and concede 2.1. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Rilski Sportist1.01.227/156/15
Pirin Blagoevgrad0.82.145/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Rilski Sportist sit 14th in Second League (5 points from 5 matches) and Pirin Blagoevgrad sit 18th (0 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
14Rilski Sportist5122565
18Pirin Blagoevgrad50053190

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad?
The Footlab model makes Rilski Sportist the favourite at 52%, against 26% for a draw and 22% for Pirin Blagoevgrad.
Where and when is Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad played?
Rilski Sportist vs Pirin Blagoevgrad is played on September 26, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Iskar, in the Second League.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Rilski Sportist and Pirin Blagoevgrad

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