Salisbury vs Horsham: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, Salisbury, Wiltshire
The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Horsham. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Salisbury vs Horsham?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Salisbury (1,756) and Horsham (1,816).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Salisbury have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Horsham have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hemel Hempstead Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham(away) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Havant & Wville(home) | 5-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Frome Town(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(home) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Salisbury(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Torquay(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Worthing(away) | 0-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 1 Salisbury win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Horsham win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Horsham 0-0 Salisbury | National League - South |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Salisbury 2-1 Horsham | National League - South |
| Aug 30, 2025 | Horsham 1-1 Salisbury | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Salisbury score 2.3 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Horsham score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Salisbury | 2.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 12/15 |
| Horsham | 1.2 | 1.2 | 5 | 5/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Salisbury sit 15th in National League - South (4 points from 3 matches) and Horsham sit 2nd (8 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Horsham | 4 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 8 |
| 15 | Salisbury | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 6 | 2 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Salisbury vs Horsham?
- The Footlab model makes Salisbury the favourite at 49%, against 26% for a draw and 25% for Horsham.
- Where and when is Salisbury vs Horsham played?
- Salisbury vs Horsham is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Raymond McEnhill Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Maidstone UtdvsWalton & Hersham
- Dec 19, 2026TorquayvsTonbridge Angels
- Dec 19, 2026Billericay TownvsAFC Totton
- Dec 19, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 19, 2026Slough TownvsDover
- Dec 19, 2026Truro CityvsChelmsford City
- Dec 19, 2026Chesham UnitedvsBraintree
- Dec 19, 2026Folkestone InvictavsEbbsfleet United