Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent
The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1. If Folkestone Invicta wins, the most likely score is 2-1.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,451 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United?
A very open match: only 17 Elo points separate Folkestone Invicta (1,939) and Ebbsfleet United (1,922).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Folkestone Invicta
Not enough data to predict the Folkestone Invicta lineup.
Ebbsfleet United
4-3-3- 9A. Cosgrave
- 14D. Samuel
- 17L. Peake
- 22B. Chapman
- 4J. Hessenthaler
- 20M. Manktelow
- 24M. Olagunju
- 12Ronny Nelson
- 7J. Passley
- 6T. Dallison-Lisbon
- 13G. Bellagambi
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 07:00 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 7, 3 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United(away) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Salisbury(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Dover(away) | 2-4 | FA Cup |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 13, 2026 | AFC Totton(home) | 5-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 2-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Folkestone Invicta(home) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Sholing(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Sep 29, 2026 | Slough Town(away) | 1-1 | National League - South |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 0 Folkestone Invicta wins, 0 draws, 2 Ebbsfleet United wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Oct 6, 2026 | Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Folkestone Invicta | National League - South |
| Sep 28, 2013 | Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Folkestone Invicta | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta on Oct 6, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Folkestone Invicta score 1.4 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.6 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Folkestone Invicta | 1.4 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Ebbsfleet United | 1.6 | 1.1 | 5 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Folkestone Invicta sit 15th in National League - South (13 points from 11 matches) and Ebbsfleet United sit 6th (18 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 6 | Ebbsfleet United | 8 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 14 | 3 | 18 |
| 15 | Folkestone Invicta | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | 13 | 13 |
A question about Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United?
- The Footlab AI model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 46%, against 25% for a draw and 29% for Ebbsfleet United.
- Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United played?
- Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Maidstone UtdvsWalton & Hersham
- Dec 19, 2026TorquayvsTonbridge Angels
- Dec 19, 2026Billericay TownvsAFC Totton
- Dec 19, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 19, 2026Slough TownvsDover
- Dec 19, 2026Truro CityvsChelmsford City
- Dec 19, 2026Chesham UnitedvsBraintree
- Dec 19, 2026SalisburyvsHorsham