Match

Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Alcaline Stadium, Folkestone, Kent

Folkestone InvictaEbbsfleet United

The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United?

Folkestone Invicta starts as the favourite with a 131-point Elo edge (1,943 vs 1,812).

Folkestone Invicta win59 %
Draw22 %
Ebbsfleet United win19 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Folkestone Invicta have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Ebbsfleet United have 8, 0 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Folkestone Invicta
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Chelmsford City(home)1-1National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Maidstone Utd(away)1-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Walton & Hersham(home)5-1National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Welling United(home)2-0Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Sutton Utd(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Ebbsfleet United
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Jul 31, 2026Gillingham(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Cray Valley PM(away)3-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 21, 2026West Ham United U21(home)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 7, 2026Dartford(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
Apr 25, 2026Worthing(away)0-2National League - South

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 1 meetings: 0 Folkestone Invicta win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Ebbsfleet United win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Sep 28, 2013Ebbsfleet United 1-0 Folkestone InvictaFA Cup

Last archived meeting: Ebbsfleet United vs Folkestone Invicta on Sep 28, 2013

How many goals should we expect?

Folkestone Invicta score 2.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Ebbsfleet United score 1.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Folkestone Invicta2.11.5311/158/15
Ebbsfleet United1.91.5310/1513/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
12Folkestone Invicta3120735

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United?
The Footlab model makes Folkestone Invicta the favourite at 59%, against 22% for a draw and 19% for Ebbsfleet United.
Where and when is Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United played?
Folkestone Invicta vs Ebbsfleet United is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Alcaline Stadium, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Folkestone Invicta and Ebbsfleet United

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