Match

Slough Town vs Dover: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arbour Park, Slough, Buckinghamshire

Slough TownDover

The Footlab model makes Slough Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Slough Town vs Dover?

A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Slough Town (1,692) and Dover (1,722).

Slough Town win45 %
Draw23 %
Dover win32 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slough Town have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Slough Town
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Hampton & Richmond(away)3-5National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Farnham Town(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Dover(away)3-5National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Wealdstone(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 28, 2026Oxford City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Dover
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Weston-super-Mare(away)3-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Tonbridge Angels(home)0-1National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Slough Town(home)5-3National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Billericay Town(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 1, 2026Carshalton Athletic(home)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slough Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dover win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Dover 5-3 Slough TownNational League - South
Feb 28, 2026Slough Town 1-1 DoverNational League - South
Nov 29, 2025Dover 2-0 Slough TownNational League - South
Jan 27, 2024Dover 1-0 Slough TownNational League - South
Aug 12, 2023Slough Town 1-2 DoverNational League - South
Feb 4, 2023Slough Town 1-1 DoverNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Dover vs Slough Town on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Slough Town1.52.9011/1511/15
Dover1.21.827/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Slough Town sit 23rd in National League - South (0 points from 3 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
10Dover4202886
23Slough Town30036110

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Slough Town vs Dover?
The Footlab model makes Slough Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dover.
Where and when is Slough Town vs Dover played?
Slough Town vs Dover is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arbour Park, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Slough Town and Dover

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