Slough Town vs Dover: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Arbour Park, Slough, Buckinghamshire
The Footlab model makes Slough Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dover. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Slough Town vs Dover?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Slough Town (1,692) and Dover (1,722).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Slough Town have 2 wins, 2 draws and 11 defeats; Dover have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Hampton & Richmond(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Farnham Town(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover(away) | 3-5 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Wealdstone(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(away) | 3-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(home) | 0-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Slough Town(home) | 5-3 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Billericay Town(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Carshalton Athletic(home) | 1-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Slough Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Dover win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Dover 5-3 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Feb 28, 2026 | Slough Town 1-1 Dover | National League - South |
| Nov 29, 2025 | Dover 2-0 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Jan 27, 2024 | Dover 1-0 Slough Town | National League - South |
| Aug 12, 2023 | Slough Town 1-2 Dover | National League - South |
| Feb 4, 2023 | Slough Town 1-1 Dover | National League - South |
How many goals should we expect?
Slough Town score 1.5 and concede 2.9 goals per match over their last 15; Dover score 1.2 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 68% probability of over 2.5 goals and 68% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slough Town | 1.5 | 2.9 | 0 | 11/15 | 11/15 |
| Dover | 1.2 | 1.8 | 2 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Slough Town sit 23rd in National League - South (0 points from 3 matches) and Dover sit 10th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Dover | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 8 | 6 |
| 23 | Slough Town | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | 6 | 11 | 0 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Slough Town vs Dover?
- The Footlab model makes Slough Town the favourite at 45%, against 23% for a draw and 32% for Dover.
- Where and when is Slough Town vs Dover played?
- Slough Town vs Dover is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Arbour Park, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 68% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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