Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats
National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels?
Torquay starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,771).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Dagenham & Redbridge(away) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Weston-super-Mare(home) | 0-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels(away) | 2-1 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Horsham(home) | 1-1 | National League - South |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Truro City(home) | 0-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Dover(away) | 1-0 | National League - South |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Torquay(home) | 1-2 | National League - South |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Braintree(away) | 4-0 | National League - South |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Eastbourne Borough(home) | 4-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 15, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Apr 25, 2026 | Tonbridge Angels 1-2 Torquay | National League - South |
| Dec 6, 2025 | Torquay 1-2 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Mar 8, 2025 | Tonbridge Angels 0-1 Torquay | National League - South |
| Nov 9, 2024 | Torquay 0-0 Tonbridge Angels | National League - South |
| Mar 16, 2024 | Tonbridge Angels 4-1 Torquay | National League - South |
Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay on Aug 15, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Torquay | 2.2 | 1.1 | 3 | 10/15 | 11/15 |
| Tonbridge Angels | 1.7 | 1.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Tonbridge Angels | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 6 | 4 | 6 |
| 13 | Torquay | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 4 | 5 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels?
- The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels.
- Where and when is Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels played?
- Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Dec 19, 2026Maidstone UtdvsWalton & Hersham
- Dec 19, 2026Billericay TownvsAFC Totton
- Dec 19, 2026Hampton & RichmondvsWeston-super-Mare
- Dec 19, 2026Slough TownvsDover
- Dec 19, 2026Truro CityvsChelmsford City
- Dec 19, 2026Chesham UnitedvsBraintree
- Dec 19, 2026Folkestone InvictavsEbbsfleet United
- Dec 19, 2026SalisburyvsHorsham