Match

Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels: prediction and stats

National League - SouthNational League South - 22Kick-off on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Plainmoor Ground, Torquay, Devon

TorquayTonbridge Angels

The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels?

Torquay starts as the favourite with a 101-point Elo edge (1,872 vs 1,771).

Torquay win50 %
Draw24 %
Tonbridge Angels win26 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Torquay have 9 wins, 2 draws and 4 defeats; Tonbridge Angels have 8, 1 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Torquay
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Dagenham & Redbridge(away)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Weston-super-Mare(home)0-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels(away)2-1National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Horsham(home)1-1National League - South
Jul 31, 2026Exeter City(home)2-1Friendlies Clubs
Tonbridge Angels
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Truro City(home)0-2National League - South
Aug 18, 2026Dover(away)1-0National League - South
Aug 15, 2026Torquay(home)1-2National League - South
Aug 8, 2026Braintree(away)4-0National League - South
Jul 28, 2026Eastbourne Borough(home)4-2Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Torquay win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tonbridge Angels win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Aug 15, 2026Tonbridge Angels 1-2 TorquayNational League - South
Apr 25, 2026Tonbridge Angels 1-2 TorquayNational League - South
Dec 6, 2025Torquay 1-2 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Mar 8, 2025Tonbridge Angels 0-1 TorquayNational League - South
Nov 9, 2024Torquay 0-0 Tonbridge AngelsNational League - South
Mar 16, 2024Tonbridge Angels 4-1 TorquayNational League - South

Last archived meeting: Tonbridge Angels vs Torquay on Aug 15, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Torquay score 2.2 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Tonbridge Angels score 1.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 60% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Torquay2.21.1310/1511/15
Tonbridge Angels1.71.248/158/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Torquay sit 13th in National League - South (5 points from 4 matches) and Tonbridge Angels sit 9th (6 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
9Tonbridge Angels4202646
13Torquay4121345

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels?
The Footlab model makes Torquay the favourite at 50%, against 24% for a draw and 26% for Tonbridge Angels.
Where and when is Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels played?
Torquay vs Tonbridge Angels is played on December 19, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Plainmoor Ground, in the National League - South.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 60% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Torquay and Tonbridge Angels

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