Chester vs Bedford Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Deva Stadium, Chester, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Bedford Town. The most likely score is 2-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chester vs Bedford Town?
Chester starts as the favourite with a 159-point Elo edge (1,926 vs 1,767).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chester have 11 wins, 2 draws and 2 defeats; Bedford Town have 5, 4 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Darlington 1883(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 2-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Southport(away) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Buxton(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Darlington 1883(home) | 2-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Oxford City(away) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Kettering Town(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 2 meetings: 1 Chester win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 Bedford Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 7, 2026 | Bedford Town 1-2 Chester | National League - North |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Chester 1-2 Bedford Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Bedford Town vs Chester on Feb 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chester score 1.3 and concede 0.3 goals per match over their last 15; Bedford Town score 1.2 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chester | 1.3 | 0.3 | 11 | 3/15 | 4/15 |
| Bedford Town | 1.2 | 1.5 | 3 | 8/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chester sit 1st in National League - North (12 points from 4 matches) and Bedford Town sit 20th (3 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chester | 4 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 6 | 1 | 12 |
| 20 | Bedford Town | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chester vs Bedford Town?
- The Footlab model makes Chester the favourite at 62%, against 23% for a draw and 15% for Bedford Town.
- Where and when is Chester vs Bedford Town played?
- Chester vs Bedford Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Deva Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026MacclesfieldvsSouth Shields
- Oct 10, 2026ChorleyvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 10, 2026HerefordvsHednesford Town
- Oct 10, 2026Brackley TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Oct 10, 2026Worksop TownvsMorecambe
- Oct 10, 2026MarinevsSpalding United
- Oct 10, 2026RadcliffevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 10, 2026King's Lynn TownvsBuxton