Where and when is Chorley vs AFC Telford United played?

Chorley vs AFC Telford United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Chorley vs AFC Telford United: prediction and stats

National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Victory Park, Chorley, Lancashire

Chorley

AFC Telford United

The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chorley. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Chorley vs AFC Telford United?

A very open match: only 45 Elo points separate Chorley (1,780) and AFC Telford United (1,825).

Chorley win36 %

Draw26 %

AFC Telford United win39 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chorley have 4 wins, 3 draws and 8 defeats; AFC Telford United have 3, 4 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Chorley
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Scarborough Athletic(home)	2-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Marine(away)	2-0	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	South Shields(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Chester(home)	1-2	National League - North
Jul 28, 2026	Trafford(away)	1-2	Friendlies Clubs

AFC Telford United
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 22, 2026	Hednesford Town(home)	1-1	National League - North
Aug 18, 2026	Merthyr Town(away)	2-2	National League - North
Aug 15, 2026	Worksop Town(away)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 8, 2026	Brackley Town(home)	1-2	National League - North
Aug 1, 2026	Tamworth(home)	1-3	Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chorley win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 AFC Telford United win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 17, 2026	AFC Telford United 2-2 Chorley	National League - North
Sep 6, 2025	Chorley 3-1 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Jan 31, 2023	Chorley 1-0 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Aug 6, 2022	AFC Telford United 1-0 Chorley	National League - North
Apr 23, 2022	Chorley 1-0 AFC Telford United	National League - North
Aug 21, 2021	AFC Telford United 3-0 Chorley	National League - North

Last archived meeting: AFC Telford United vs Chorley on Feb 17, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Chorley score 0.9 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; AFC Telford United score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Chorley	0.9	1.2	4	8/15	8/15
AFC Telford United	1.2	1.7	2	10/15	10/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Chorley sit 9th in National League - North (6 points from 4 matches) and AFC Telford United sit 22nd (2 points from 4 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
9	Chorley	4	2	0	2	6	5	6
22	AFC Telford United	4	0	2	2	5	7	2

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Chorley vs AFC Telford United?: The Footlab model makes AFC Telford United the favourite at 39%, against 26% for a draw and 36% for Chorley.
Where and when is Chorley vs AFC Telford United played?: Chorley vs AFC Telford United is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Victory Park, in the National League - North.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.