Macclesfield vs South Shields: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Leasing.com Stadium, Macclesfield, Cheshire
The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Macclesfield. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Macclesfield vs South Shields?
A very open match: only 1 Elo points separate Macclesfield (1,932) and South Shields (1,934).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Macclesfield have 8 wins, 3 draws and 4 defeats; South Shields have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Brackley Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spalding United(away) | 0-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Radcliffe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Marine(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | United of Manchester(home) | 2-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Chorley(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 1-0 | National League - North |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Gateshead(away) | 4-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 4 meetings: 3 Macclesfield win(s), 0 draw(s), 1 South Shields win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 14, 2026 | South Shields 4-1 Macclesfield | National League - North |
| Dec 13, 2025 | South Shields 0-1 Macclesfield | FA Trophy |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Macclesfield 1-0 South Shields | National League - North |
| Sep 14, 2024 | Macclesfield 5-0 South Shields | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: South Shields vs Macclesfield on Apr 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Macclesfield score 1.4 and concede 1.2 goals per match over their last 15; South Shields score 1.7 and concede 0.9. The model gives a 58% probability of over 2.5 goals and 61% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Macclesfield | 1.4 | 1.2 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
| South Shields | 1.7 | 0.9 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Macclesfield sit 4th in National League - North (10 points from 4 matches) and South Shields sit 5th (10 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4 | Macclesfield | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
| 5 | South Shields | 4 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 5 | 2 | 10 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Macclesfield vs South Shields?
- The Footlab model makes South Shields the favourite at 38%, against 26% for a draw and 37% for Macclesfield.
- Where and when is Macclesfield vs South Shields played?
- Macclesfield vs South Shields is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Leasing.com Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 58% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026ChestervsBedford Town
- Oct 10, 2026ChorleyvsAFC Telford United
- Oct 10, 2026HerefordvsHednesford Town
- Oct 10, 2026Brackley TownvsSpennymoor Town
- Oct 10, 2026Worksop TownvsMorecambe
- Oct 10, 2026MarinevsSpalding United
- Oct 10, 2026RadcliffevsScarborough Athletic
- Oct 10, 2026King's Lynn TownvsBuxton