Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Neuven Stadium, Radcliffe, Greater Manchester
The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Radcliffe. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?
Scarborough Athletic starts as the favourite with a 129-point Elo edge (1,830 vs 1,701).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Radcliffe have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Scarborough Athletic have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Morecambe(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Hereford(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Spalding United(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Bury(away) | 1-3 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chorley(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Spennymoor Town(home) | 3-0 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hednesford Town(away) | 4-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | South Shields(home) | 0-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Harrogate Town(away) | 1-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Radcliffe win(s), 1 draw(s), 4 Scarborough Athletic win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 27, 2026 | Radcliffe 1-4 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Dec 16, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 0-3 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Feb 4, 2025 | Scarborough Athletic 2-0 Radcliffe | National League - North |
| Aug 10, 2024 | Radcliffe 3-3 Scarborough Athletic | National League - North |
| Apr 23, 2022 | Scarborough Athletic 5-2 Radcliffe | Non League Premier - Northern |
| Aug 28, 2021 | Radcliffe 0-1 Scarborough Athletic | Non League Premier - Northern |
Last archived meeting: Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic on Jan 27, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Radcliffe score 1.1 and concede 2.1 goals per match over their last 15; Scarborough Athletic score 1.3 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 59% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Radcliffe | 1.1 | 2.1 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Scarborough Athletic | 1.3 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Radcliffe sit 21st in National League - North (3 points from 4 matches) and Scarborough Athletic sit 8th (6 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Scarborough Athletic | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 8 | 6 | 6 |
| 21 | Radcliffe | 4 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 8 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic?
- The Footlab model makes Scarborough Athletic the favourite at 55%, against 23% for a draw and 21% for Radcliffe.
- Where and when is Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic played?
- Radcliffe vs Scarborough Athletic is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Neuven Stadium, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.