Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town: prediction and stats
National League - NorthNational League North - 11Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St. James Park, Brackley, Northamptonshire
The Footlab model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Brackley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?
Spennymoor Town starts as the favourite with a 111-point Elo edge (1,802 vs 1,691).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Brackley Town have 3 wins, 4 draws and 8 defeats; Spennymoor Town have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Macclesfield(away) | 1-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | King's Lynn Town(home) | 0-2 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Hebburn Town(home) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | AFC Telford United(away) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Maidenhead(home) | 1-0 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oxford City(home) | 1-4 | National League - North |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Scarborough Athletic(away) | 0-3 | National League - North |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Merthyr Town(home) | 2-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Morecambe(away) | 1-1 | National League - North |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gateshead(home) | 2-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 4 Brackley Town win(s), 2 draw(s), 0 Spennymoor Town win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Jan 25, 2025 | Brackley Town 4-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Aug 26, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 2-2 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Jan 6, 2024 | Spennymoor Town 0-1 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Oct 14, 2023 | Brackley Town 3-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
| Mar 25, 2023 | Spennymoor Town 1-1 Brackley Town | National League - North |
| Dec 3, 2022 | Brackley Town 2-1 Spennymoor Town | National League - North |
Last archived meeting: Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town on Jan 25, 2025
How many goals should we expect?
Brackley Town score 0.7 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Spennymoor Town score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 57% probability of over 2.5 goals and 60% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brackley Town | 0.7 | 1.6 | 1 | 7/15 | 6/15 |
| Spennymoor Town | 1.2 | 1.4 | 2 | 10/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Brackley Town sit 15th in National League - North (4 points from 4 matches) and Spennymoor Town sit 17th (4 points from 4 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Brackley Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 6 | 4 |
| 17 | Spennymoor Town | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2 | 4 | 9 | 4 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town?
- The Footlab model makes Spennymoor Town the favourite at 43%, against 26% for a draw and 32% for Brackley Town.
- Where and when is Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town played?
- Brackley Town vs Spennymoor Town is played on October 10, 2026 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at St. James Park, in the National League - North.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 57% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.