Chesterfield vs Rotherham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Rotherham. The most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.7% of the 2,475 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Rotherham?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 132-point Elo edge (1,868 vs 1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Rotherham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 8R. Stirk
- 24D. Markanday
- 18L. Marsh
- 31J. Randall
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 19L. Gordon
- 5K. McFadzean
- 23R. Boot
Rotherham
4-2-3-1- 10P. Mullin
- 4J. Austerfield
- 6O. Ashley
- 24J. Buyabu
- 8K. Spence
- 28Brandon Ashley Cover
- 12D. Hall
- 14Sonny Aljofree
- 27D. Iorfa
- 5K. Ngwenya
- 13J. Eyestone
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:09 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Rotherham have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Port Vale(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | York(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bradford(home) | 0-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Chesterfield win, 2 draws, 2 Rotherham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Rotherham 2-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Jan 14, 2025 | Chesterfield 0-0 Rotherham | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2017 | Rotherham 1-2 Chesterfield | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 16, 2013 | Rotherham 1-0 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Aug 25, 2012 | Chesterfield 1-1 Rotherham | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Rotherham vs Chesterfield on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 1.7 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Rotherham score 1.1 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 49% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 1.7 | 1.5 | 2 | 11/15 | 8/15 |
| Rotherham | 1.1 | 1.7 | 2 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 7th in League Two (15 points from 10 matches) and Rotherham sit 20th (10 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Chesterfield | 10 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 17 | 14 | 15 |
| 20 | Rotherham | 10 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 12 | 16 | 10 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Rotherham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Rotherham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 59%, against 24% for a draw and 17% for Rotherham.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Rotherham played?
- Chesterfield vs Rotherham is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.7% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.