Crewe vs Port Vale: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Mornflake Stadium, Crewe, Cheshire
The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Port Vale. The most likely score is 1-1. If Crewe wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,479 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crewe vs Port Vale?
A very open match: only 21 Elo points separate Crewe (1,861) and Port Vale (1,840).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Crewe vs Port Vale
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Crewe
4-2-3-1- 29A. Thibaut
- 10J. White
- 9J. March
- 11J. Tabiner
- 14J. Gibson
- 19O. Lunt
- 6L. Offord
- 2L. Billington
- 12J. Stephenson
- 4Kyle Ure
- 1T. Booth
Port Vale
3-5-2- 11O. Hernández
- 36M. Watters
- 6J. Lawrence-Gabriel
- 10K. Dempsey
- 3J. Headley
- 8B. Garrity
- 33G. Hall
- 5C. Hall
- 25C. Humphreys
- 4J. Moon
- 20M. Maroši
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 08:37 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crewe have 6 wins, 8 draws and 1 defeat; Port Vale have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Blackpool(away) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Aston Villa U21(home) | 4-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Mansfield Town(home) | 2-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Walsall(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Crewe wins, 3 draws, 3 Port Vale wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Port Vale 0-0 Crewe | League Two |
| Mar 29, 2025 | Crewe 0-1 Port Vale | League Two |
| Nov 25, 2024 | Port Vale 1-1 Crewe | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2023 | Port Vale 1-0 Crewe | EFL Trophy |
| Aug 29, 2023 | Port Vale 0-0 Crewe | League Cup |
| Nov 2, 2019 | Crewe 0-1 Port Vale | League Two |
How many goals should we expect?
Crewe score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Port Vale score 0.8 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crewe | 1.5 | 0.9 | 5 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
| Port Vale | 0.8 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crewe sit 3rd in League Two (18 points from 10 matches) and Port Vale sit 22nd (8 points from 8 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Crewe | 10 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 12 | 7 | 18 |
| 22 | Port Vale | 8 | 2 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 9 | 8 |
A question about Crewe vs Port Vale?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crewe vs Port Vale?
- The Footlab AI model makes Crewe the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Port Vale.
- Where and when is Crewe vs Port Vale played?
- Crewe vs Port Vale is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Mornflake Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.