Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Memorial Stadium, Bristol, Gloucestershire
The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Bristol Rovers wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,985 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 22, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?
On Elo ratings, Bristol Rovers has 1,797 points and Crawley Town 1,718.
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Bristol Rovers
4-2-3-1- 29F. Cavegn
- 6C. Mola
- 7S. Forde
- 22Keenan Gough
- 19E. Harrison
- 3J. Sparkes
- 2T. James
- 4K. Balmer
- 17C. Kelly
- 5A. Kilgour
- 1Brad Young
Crawley Town
3-4-2-1- 17Osman Kamara
- 20J. Arthurs
- 22A. Adeyemo
- 10S. Duke-McKenna
- 30Kai Jennings
- 28Nathan Tinsdale
- 25J. Fourcroy
- 6P. Farquharson
- 12L. Richards
- 5C. Barker
- 1V. Mannone
Computed on October 22, 2026 at 04:05 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Bristol Rovers have 5 wins, 1 draw and 9 defeats; Crawley Town have 3, 2 and 10.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Barnet(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Wycombe(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 20, 2026 | Shrewsbury(home) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Salford City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Bromley(home) | 4-0 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Bristol Rovers wins, 1 draw, 3 Crawley Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Crawley Town 0-2 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Apr 11, 2026 | Bristol Rovers 3-1 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2025 | Crawley Town 4-0 Bristol Rovers | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-0 Bristol Rovers | League One |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Bristol Rovers 0-0 Crawley Town | League One |
| Dec 5, 2023 | Crawley Town 2-1 Bristol Rovers | EFL Trophy |
Last archived meeting: Crawley Town vs Bristol Rovers on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Bristol Rovers score 1.3 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Crawley Town score 1.2 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 50% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bristol Rovers | 1.3 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
| Crawley Town | 1.2 | 1.7 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Bristol Rovers sit 16th in League Two (15 points from 12 matches) and Crawley Town sit 24th (5 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Bristol Rovers | 12 | 5 | 0 | 7 | 16 | 20 | 15 |
| 24 | Crawley Town | 10 | 1 | 2 | 7 | 11 | 20 | 5 |
A question about Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Bristol Rovers the favourite at 55%, against 25% for a draw and 20% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town played?
- Bristol Rovers vs Crawley Town is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Memorial Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 50% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.