Rochdale vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 29Kick-off on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Colchester. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 4,523 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 5, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Colchester?
A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,766) and Colchester (1,691).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Colchester
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 45G. Middleton
- 8H. Gilmour
- 17B. Adeeko
- 7C. Hayes
- 14E. Francis
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 44A. Flint
- 2C. Tasker
- 26S. Sherring
- 20Sam William John Waller
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 2R. Hunt
- 30K. Vincent-Young
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Computed on November 5, 2026 at 04:55 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Colchester have 2, 7 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Grimsby(home) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Crewe(away) | 2-3 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Rochdale wins, 2 draws, 2 Colchester wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Aug 29, 2026 | Colchester 1-0 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jan 14, 2023 | Rochdale 1-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Sep 24, 2022 | Colchester 0-1 Rochdale | League Two |
| Feb 1, 2022 | Colchester 1-1 Rochdale | League Two |
| Aug 27, 2021 | Rochdale 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| May 8, 2016 | Colchester 1-2 Rochdale | League One |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Rochdale on Aug 29, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 2.2 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.3 | 2.2 | 4 | 8/15 | 10/15 |
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.5 | 2 | 10/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 20th in League Two (15 points from 14 matches) and Colchester sit 23rd (12 points from 13 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 | Rochdale | 14 | 4 | 3 | 7 | 17 | 26 | 15 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Rochdale vs Colchester?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Colchester?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 47%, against 27% for a draw and 26% for Colchester.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Colchester played?
- Rochdale vs Colchester is played on February 6, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.