Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 16Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)SMH Group Stadium, Chesterfield, Derbyshire
The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Chesterfield wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.1% of the 4,795 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
Chesterfield starts as the favourite with a 134-point Elo edge (1,770 vs 1,635).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Chesterfield
4-2-3-1- 10L. Bonis
- 20G. McEachran
- 24D. Markanday
- 37J. Koroma
- 18L. Marsh
- 4T. Naylor
- 6J. Simpson
- 33R. Hutton
- 15A. Pond
- 46T. Pearce
- 1Z. Hemming
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:49 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Chesterfield have 6 wins, 5 draws and 4 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30, 2026 | Newport County(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 5-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Colchester(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Chesterfield wins, 1 draw, 2 Shrewsbury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 7, 2026 | Chesterfield 2-3 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 20, 2025 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Chesterfield | League Two |
| Mar 11, 2017 | Chesterfield 1-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 20, 2016 | Shrewsbury 2-1 Chesterfield | League One |
| Jan 2, 2016 | Chesterfield 7-1 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 18, 2015 | Shrewsbury 1-2 Chesterfield | League One |
Last archived meeting: Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury on Mar 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Chesterfield score 2.0 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 52% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chesterfield | 2.0 | 1.6 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Chesterfield sit 10th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 | Chesterfield | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 21 | 19 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Chesterfield the favourite at 57%, against 24% for a draw and 19% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury played?
- Chesterfield vs Shrewsbury is played on November 21, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at SMH Group Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 52% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.1% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.