Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 17Kick-off on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cheltenham. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shrewsbury wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,443 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 4, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Shrewsbury (1,652) and Cheltenham (1,685).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Cheltenham
4-2-3-1- 18A. Weimann
- 19J. Evans
- 8C. McCann
- 7B. Stevenson
- 33F. Willcox
- 17S. McWilliams
- 25P. Sweeney
- 26J. Shipley
- 6J. Wilson
- 3J. Tomkinson
- 23W. Stanway
Computed on November 4, 2026 at 08:08 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cheltenham have 5, 5 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Tranmere(away) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(home) | 4-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 1-4 | League Two |
| Oct 13, 2026 | Tottenham Hotspur U21(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Shrewsbury win, 0 draws, 5 Cheltenham wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 14, 2026 | Shrewsbury 0-2 Cheltenham | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Cheltenham 3-1 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2023 | Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Aug 5, 2023 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Cheltenham | League One |
| Dec 29, 2022 | Shrewsbury 0-1 Cheltenham | League One |
| Oct 1, 2022 | Cheltenham 2-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham on Mar 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cheltenham score 1.7 and concede 1.9. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Cheltenham | 1.7 | 1.9 | 1 | 12/15 | 11/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 15th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Cheltenham sit 5th (21 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Cheltenham | 14 | 6 | 3 | 5 | 23 | 25 | 21 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cheltenham.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham played?
- Shrewsbury vs Cheltenham is played on November 28, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.