Crawley Town vs Colchester: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Broadfield Stadium, Crawley, West Sussex
The Footlab model makes Colchester the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Crawley Town. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Crawley Town vs Colchester?
A very open match: only 91 Elo points separate Crawley Town (1,677) and Colchester (1,768).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Crawley Town have 5 wins, 3 draws and 7 defeats; Colchester have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Watford(away) | 0-1 | League Cup |
| Aug 3, 2026 | York(away) | 2-0 | League Cup |
| Jul 31, 2026 | Reading(home) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Oldham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Accrington ST(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Southampton(home) | 0-2 | League Cup |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Stevenage(away) | 0-1 | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 28, 2026 | Charlton(home) | 0-2 | Friendlies Clubs |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Crawley Town win(s), 4 draw(s), 1 Colchester win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 13, 2026 | Colchester 0-0 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Dec 26, 2025 | Crawley Town 1-1 Colchester | League Two |
| Apr 13, 2024 | Crawley Town 2-3 Colchester | League Two |
| Dec 9, 2023 | Colchester 1-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2023 | Crawley Town 0-0 Colchester | League Two |
| Oct 25, 2022 | Colchester 2-2 Crawley Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Colchester vs Crawley Town on Mar 13, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Crawley Town score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Colchester score 1.7 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 43% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Crawley Town | 0.9 | 1.1 | 6 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Colchester | 1.7 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Crawley Town sit 15th in League Two (3 points from 2 matches) and Colchester sit 5th (4 points from 2 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Colchester | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | 3 | 4 |
| 15 | Crawley Town | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 3 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Crawley Town vs Colchester?
- The Footlab model makes Colchester the favourite at 39%, against 29% for a draw and 32% for Crawley Town.
- Where and when is Crawley Town vs Colchester played?
- Crawley Town vs Colchester is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Broadfield Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 43% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.