Exeter City vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)St James Park, Exeter, Devon
The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Exeter City wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.3% of the 2,857 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 20, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 40 Elo points separate Exeter City (1,824) and Swindon Town (1,784).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Exeter City vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Exeter City
4-2-3-1- 10J. Gordon
- 16C. Cummins
- 31J. Doyle-Hayes
- 8T. Perry
- 20George Birch
- 25A. Scully
- 3L. Woodhouse
- 5J. Fitzwater
- 2L. Samuel
- 6J. Taylor
- 1J. Bycroft
Swindon Town
4-3-3- 23A. Drinan
- 29A. Hackford
- 34B. Kirkman
- 25J. Thomson
- 27A. Munda
- 8O. Clarke
- 5S. Negru
- 6J. Ball
- 2M. Clark
- 26D. Butler
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on October 20, 2026 at 11:40 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Exeter City have 4 wins, 6 draws and 5 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Colchester(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Oxford United(home) | 2-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 10, 2026 | Crewe(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 0-2 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 5 Exeter City wins, 0 draws, 1 Swindon Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 3, 2024 | Exeter City 2-1 Swindon Town | EFL Trophy |
| Nov 21, 2023 | Swindon Town 0-1 Exeter City | EFL Trophy |
| Mar 8, 2022 | Exeter City 3-1 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Feb 5, 2022 | Swindon Town 1-2 Exeter City | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2020 | Swindon Town 3-4 Exeter City | EFL Trophy |
| Feb 1, 2020 | Swindon Town 2-1 Exeter City | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Exeter City vs Swindon Town on Sep 3, 2024
How many goals should we expect?
Exeter City score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.1 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Exeter City | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 3/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.1 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Exeter City sit 16th in League Two (13 points from 11 matches) and Swindon Town sit 18th (12 points from 11 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 | Exeter City | 11 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 13 |
| 18 | Swindon Town | 11 | 3 | 3 | 5 | 10 | 15 | 12 |
A question about Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Exeter City vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Exeter City the favourite at 41%, against 29% for a draw and 30% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Exeter City vs Swindon Town played?
- Exeter City vs Swindon Town is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at St James Park, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.3% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.