Shrewsbury vs Newport County: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 39Kick-off on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)The Croud Meadow, Shrewsbury, Shropshire
The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Newport County. The most likely score is 1-1. If Shrewsbury wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.2% of the 4,728 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 7, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Shrewsbury vs Newport County?
A very open match: only 99 Elo points separate Shrewsbury (1,637) and Newport County (1,736).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Shrewsbury vs Newport County
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 17Arkelle Nicholas Cecil Jude-Boyd
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Newport County
4-2-3-1- 19G. Garner
- 10H. Biggins
- 6C. Brennan
- 23M. Adu-Poku
- 20Y. Bamba
- 24M. Dibley-Dias
- 22C. Norman
- 5L. Jenkins
- 4K. Cameron
- 12Joe Thomas
- 1J. Wright
Computed on November 7, 2026 at 03:02 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Shrewsbury have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Newport County have 4, 7 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3, 2026 | Crystal Palace U21(home) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 30, 2026 | Chesterfield(home) | 4-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Cheltenham(away) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 2-2 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | York(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Shrewsbury wins, 1 draw, 1 Newport County win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Mar 28, 2026 | Newport County 1-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Nov 15, 2025 | Shrewsbury 1-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Newport County 0-1 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Shrewsbury 0-0 Newport County | League Two |
| Nov 12, 2011 | Newport County 0-1 Shrewsbury | FA Cup |
Last archived meeting: Newport County vs Shrewsbury on Mar 28, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Shrewsbury score 1.2 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Newport County score 1.3 and concede 1.1. The model gives a 46% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shrewsbury | 1.2 | 1.4 | 3 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Newport County | 1.3 | 1.1 | 4 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Shrewsbury sit 15th in League Two (18 points from 14 matches) and Newport County sit 14th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 | Newport County | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 20 | 17 | 18 |
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
A question about Shrewsbury vs Newport County?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Shrewsbury vs Newport County?
- The Footlab AI model makes Shrewsbury the favourite at 44%, against 28% for a draw and 28% for Newport County.
- Where and when is Shrewsbury vs Newport County played?
- Shrewsbury vs Newport County is played on April 3, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at The Croud Meadow, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 46% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.2% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.