Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce played?

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce: prediction and stats

I LigaRegular Season - 15Kick-off on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC)Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, Skierniewice

Unia Skierniewice

Pogoń Siedlce

The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pogoń Siedlce. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce?

Unia Skierniewice starts as the favourite with a 154-point Elo edge (1,912 vs 1,759).

Unia Skierniewice win57 %

Draw23 %

Pogoń Siedlce win20 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Unia Skierniewice have 7 wins, 2 draws and 6 defeats; Pogoń Siedlce have 4, 3 and 8.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Unia Skierniewice
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 23, 2026	Puszcza Niepołomice(away)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 16, 2026	Miedz Legnica(home)	0-3	I Liga
Aug 10, 2026	Arka Gdynia(home)	2-0	I Liga
Aug 5, 2026	Sokół Kleczew(home)	2-2	Cup
Aug 1, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(away)	1-3	I Liga

Pogoń Siedlce
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Aug 21, 2026	Lechia Gdansk(away)	0-1	I Liga
Aug 15, 2026	Polonia Warszawa(home)	1-0	I Liga
Aug 7, 2026	Polonia Bytom(away)	2-2	I Liga
Aug 1, 2026	Nieciecza(home)	1-2	I Liga
Jul 25, 2026	ŁKS Łódź(home)	1-1	I Liga

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 2 meetings: 2 Unia Skierniewice win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Pogoń Siedlce win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Jun 27, 2026	Pogoń Siedlce 0-3 Unia Skierniewice	Friendlies Clubs
Jan 30, 2026	Unia Skierniewice 5-1 Pogoń Siedlce	Friendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Pogoń Siedlce vs Unia Skierniewice on Jun 27, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Unia Skierniewice score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Pogoń Siedlce score 1.1 and concede 1.8. The model gives a 59% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Unia Skierniewice	1.7	1.3	5	8/15	11/15
Pogoń Siedlce	1.1	1.8	3	8/15	9/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Unia Skierniewice sit 12th in I Liga (6 points from 5 matches) and Pogoń Siedlce sit 14th (5 points from 5 matches).

2026-27 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
12	Unia Skierniewice	5	2	0	3	5	8	6
14	Pogoń Siedlce	5	1	2	2	5	6	5

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce?: The Footlab model makes Unia Skierniewice the favourite at 57%, against 23% for a draw and 20% for Pogoń Siedlce.
Where and when is Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce played?: Unia Skierniewice vs Pogoń Siedlce is played on November 21, 2026 at 04:00 PM (UTC) at Stadion Miejski w Skierniewicach, in the I Liga.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 59% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.