Churriana Vega vs Cantoria: prediction and stats
Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)
The Footlab model makes Churriana Vega the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Cantoria. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Limited history for at least one of the two teams: read this prediction with caution.
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Churriana Vega vs Cantoria?
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Churriana Vega have 5 wins, 6 draws and 4 defeats; Cantoria have 0, 0 and 0.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| May 24, 2026 | Motril(away) | 0-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 17, 2026 | Motril(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 10, 2026 | El Palo(away) | 2-0 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| May 3, 2026 | UD San Pedro(home) | 1-1 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
| Apr 26, 2026 | Alhaurino(away) | 0-4 | Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 |
Where do both teams sit in the table?
The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | Churriana Vega | 34 | 14 | 10 | 10 | 32 | 40 | 52 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Churriana Vega vs Cantoria?
- The Footlab model makes Churriana Vega the favourite at 42%, against 31% for a draw and 26% for Cantoria.
- Where and when is Churriana Vega vs Cantoria played?
- Churriana Vega vs Cantoria is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC), in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 35% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 11, 2026MelillavsUD San Pedro
- Oct 11, 2026Granada IIvsAtletico de Marbella
- Oct 11, 2026Almería IIvsMálaga II
- Oct 11, 2026Ciudad de TorredonjimenovsHuétor Vega
- Oct 11, 2026Mancha RealvsTorre del Mar
- Oct 11, 2026MotrilvsAtlético Porcuna
- Oct 11, 2026Arenas ArmillavsMalaga City
- Oct 11, 2026MarbellivsAlhaurino