Where and when is Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar played?

Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, Mancha Real

Mancha Real

Torre del Mar

The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mancha Real, 34% for a draw, 34% for Torre del Mar. The most likely score is 0-0.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar?

Torre del Mar starts as the favourite with a 108-point Elo edge (1,799 vs 1,691).

Mancha Real win33 %

Draw34 %

Torre del Mar win34 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Mancha Real have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Torre del Mar have 4, 6 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Mancha Real
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	Alhaurino(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Ciudad de Torredonjimeno(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Granada II(away)	2-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 19, 2026	Huétor Vega(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 11, 2026	Huétor Tájar(away)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Torre del Mar
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 24, 2026	Arenas Armilla(home)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 17, 2026	Arenas Armilla(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 10, 2026	Torreperogil(home)	1-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 3, 2026	Atlético Porcuna(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Apr 26, 2026	Motril(home)	2-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Mancha Real win(s), 0 draw(s), 5 Torre del Mar win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 1, 2026	Mancha Real 1-0 Torre del Mar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 21, 2025	Torre del Mar 2-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Mar 2, 2025	Mancha Real 1-2 Torre del Mar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Oct 19, 2024	Torre del Mar 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
May 1, 2024	Torre del Mar 1-0 Mancha Real	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Dec 17, 2023	Mancha Real 0-1 Torre del Mar	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar on Feb 1, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Mancha Real score 1.0 and concede 1.0 goals per match over their last 15; Torre del Mar score 0.7 and concede 0.8. The model gives a 29% probability of over 2.5 goals and 38% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Mancha Real	1.0	1.0	6	6/15	6/15
Torre del Mar	0.7	0.8	6	6/15	4/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Mancha Real sit 14th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 (37 points from 34 matches) and Torre del Mar sit 3rd (55 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
3	Torre del Mar	34	14	13	7	37	26	55
14	Mancha Real	34	9	10	15	30	38	37

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar?: The Footlab model calls this one tight: 33% for Mancha Real, 34% for a draw, 34% for Torre del Mar.
Where and when is Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar played?: Mancha Real vs Torre del Mar is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Polideportivo La Juventud, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 29% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.