Where and when is Almería II vs Málaga II played?

Almería II vs Málaga II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Almería II vs Málaga II: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 9Group 9 - 6Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, Almería

Almería II

Málaga II

The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Málaga II. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Almería II vs Málaga II?

A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Almería II (1,751) and Málaga II (1,775).

Almería II win47 %

Draw26 %

Málaga II win27 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Almería II have 1 wins, 5 draws and 9 defeats; Málaga II have 3, 3 and 9.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Almería II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Águilas(away)	0-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Deportiva Minera(home)	3-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 19, 2026	Yeclano(away)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 11, 2026	Estepona(home)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 5, 2026	Lorca Deportiva(home)	1-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

Málaga II
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 3, 2026	Melilla(home)	3-3	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 26, 2026	Puente Genil(away)	1-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 18, 2026	Antoniano(home)	3-2	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 12, 2026	Ucam Murcia(away)	0-4	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Apr 4, 2026	Real Jaén(home)	2-1	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Almería II win(s), 2 draw(s), 1 Málaga II win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Feb 8, 2026	Almería II 1-1 Málaga II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
Sep 14, 2025	Málaga II 0-1 Almería II	Segunda División RFEF - Group 4
May 26, 2024	Málaga II 1-2 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
May 19, 2024	Almería II 3-1 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jan 21, 2024	Almería II 0-2 Málaga II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9
Sep 10, 2023	Málaga II 0-0 Almería II	Tercera División RFEF - Group 9

Last archived meeting: Almería II vs Málaga II on Feb 8, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Almería II score 0.9 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Málaga II score 1.3 and concede 2.3. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 57% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Almería II	0.9	1.7	0	9/15	6/15
Málaga II	1.3	2.3	0	13/15	13/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Almería II vs Málaga II?: The Footlab model makes Almería II the favourite at 47%, against 26% for a draw and 27% for Málaga II.
Where and when is Almería II vs Málaga II played?: Almería II vs Málaga II is played on October 11, 2026 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Anexo Estadio de los Juegos del Mediterráneo, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 9.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.