Match

Trento vs Cittadella: prediction and stats

Serie C - Girone AGirone A - 15Kick-off on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Stadio Briamasco, Trento

TrentoCittadella

The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cittadella. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Trento vs Cittadella?

A very open match: only 39 Elo points separate Trento (1,822) and Cittadella (1,783).

Trento win45 %
Draw27 %
Cittadella win28 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Trento have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Cittadella have 6, 5 and 4.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Trento
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026Treviso(home)2-1Serie C - Girone A
Aug 14, 2026Ospitaletto(home)2-1Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 1, 2026Modena(home)0-1Friendlies Clubs
Jul 19, 2026Genoa(away)1-2Friendlies Clubs
May 3, 2026Giana Erminio(home)1-2Serie C - Promotion - Play-offs
Cittadella
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 22, 2026Pergolettese(home)2-0Serie C - Girone A
Aug 15, 2026Atalanta II(home)2-2Coppa Italia Serie C
Aug 8, 2026Luparense(home)1-0Friendlies Clubs
Aug 1, 2026Padova(home)0-2Friendlies Clubs
Jul 29, 2026Cremonese(away)1-1Friendlies Clubs

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 5 meetings: 3 Trento win(s), 1 draw(s), 1 Cittadella win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
Apr 12, 2026Cittadella 1-3 TrentoSerie C - Girone A
Dec 5, 2025Trento 1-0 CittadellaSerie C - Girone A
Jul 28, 2023Cittadella 1-3 TrentoFriendlies Clubs
Jul 30, 2022Cittadella 2-0 TrentoFriendlies Clubs
Jul 31, 2021Cittadella 0-0 TrentoFriendlies Clubs

Last archived meeting: Cittadella vs Trento on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Trento score 1.5 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Cittadella score 1.2 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 48% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Trento1.51.4311/1510/15
Cittadella1.21.258/156/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Trento sit 6th in Serie C - Girone A (3 points from 1 matches) and Cittadella sit 3rd (3 points from 1 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
3Cittadella1100203
6Trento1100213

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Trento vs Cittadella?
The Footlab model makes Trento the favourite at 45%, against 27% for a draw and 28% for Cittadella.
Where and when is Trento vs Cittadella played?
Trento vs Cittadella is played on November 22, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Stadio Briamasco, in the Serie C - Girone A.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 48% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Trento and Cittadella

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