Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, Bolívar, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Central Norte. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte?
A very open match: only 71 Elo points separate Ciudad de Bolívar (1,766) and Central Norte (1,695).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Ciudad de Bolívar have 5 wins, 4 draws and 6 defeats; Central Norte have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Almirante Brown(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | CA Estudiantes(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Godoy Cruz(away) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 1 meetings: 1 Ciudad de Bolívar win(s), 0 draw(s), 0 Central Norte win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Central Norte 0-1 Ciudad de Bolívar | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Central Norte vs Ciudad de Bolívar on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Ciudad de Bolívar score 0.9 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Central Norte score 0.9 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ciudad de Bolívar | 0.9 | 1.1 | 5 | 7/15 | 5/15 |
| Central Norte | 0.9 | 1.2 | 4 | 9/15 | 6/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Ciudad de Bolívar sit 8th in Primera Nacional (35 points from 26 matches) and Central Norte sit 13th (27 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 8 | Ciudad de Bolívar | 26 | 8 | 11 | 7 | 22 | 23 | 35 |
| 13 | Central Norte | 25 | 6 | 9 | 10 | 17 | 25 | 27 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte?
- The Footlab model makes Ciudad de Bolívar the favourite at 51%, against 29% for a draw and 20% for Central Norte.
- Where and when is Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte played?
- Ciudad de Bolívar vs Central Norte is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Eva Perón, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.