Los Andes vs San Miguel: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Eduardo Gallardón, Lomas de Zamora, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Los Andes the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for San Miguel. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Los Andes vs San Miguel?
A very open match: only 18 Elo points separate Los Andes (1,730) and San Miguel (1,712).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Los Andes have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; San Miguel have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Chaco For Ever(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Ferro Carril Oeste(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Deportivo Madryn(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Racing Cordoba(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | San Telmo(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Acassuso(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Los Andes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 San Miguel win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | San Miguel 0-2 Los Andes | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 31, 2025 | Los Andes 0-0 San Miguel | Primera Nacional |
| Apr 26, 2025 | San Miguel 1-0 Los Andes | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 9, 2023 | San Miguel 2-1 Los Andes | Primera B Metropolitana |
| May 6, 2023 | Los Andes 3-0 San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Sep 26, 2022 | Los Andes 0-0 San Miguel | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: San Miguel vs Los Andes on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Los Andes score 0.8 and concede 0.8 goals per match over their last 15; San Miguel score 0.8 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 31% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Los Andes | 0.8 | 0.8 | 7 | 4/15 | 5/15 |
| San Miguel | 0.8 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Los Andes sit 9th in Primera Nacional (33 points from 25 matches) and San Miguel sit 11th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Los Andes | 25 | 8 | 9 | 8 | 20 | 15 | 33 |
| 11 | San Miguel | 25 | 6 | 11 | 8 | 20 | 25 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Los Andes vs San Miguel?
- The Footlab model makes Los Andes the favourite at 50%, against 32% for a draw and 17% for San Miguel.
- Where and when is Los Andes vs San Miguel played?
- Los Andes vs San Miguel is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Eduardo Gallardón, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.