Patronato vs Temperley: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, Paraná, Provincia de Entre Ríos
The Footlab model makes Temperley the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Patronato. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 24, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Patronato vs Temperley?
Temperley starts as the favourite with a 107-point Elo edge (1,816 vs 1,708).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Patronato have 2 wins, 9 draws and 4 defeats; Temperley have 8, 3 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Colon Santa Fe(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Colegiales(away) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Quilmes(home) | 3-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Midland(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | Midland(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Los Andes(home) | 3-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Atlanta(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 1-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Patronato win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Temperley win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 25, 2026 | Temperley 0-0 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
| Sep 23, 2023 | Temperley 3-1 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
| May 13, 2023 | Patronato 3-1 Temperley | Primera Nacional |
| May 6, 2018 | Temperley 1-2 Patronato | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Aug 30, 2016 | Temperley 1-0 Patronato | Liga Profesional Argentina |
| Oct 20, 2014 | Temperley 1-0 Patronato | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Temperley vs Patronato on Apr 25, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Patronato score 1.1 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Temperley score 1.3 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 34% probability of over 2.5 goals and 42% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Patronato | 1.1 | 1.3 | 2 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Temperley | 1.3 | 1.0 | 5 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Patronato sit 17th in Primera Nacional (25 points from 25 matches) and Temperley sit 3rd (43 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3 | Temperley | 26 | 11 | 10 | 5 | 29 | 22 | 43 |
| 17 | Patronato | 25 | 4 | 13 | 8 | 21 | 29 | 25 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Patronato vs Temperley?
- The Footlab model makes Temperley the favourite at 37%, against 32% for a draw and 31% for Patronato.
- Where and when is Patronato vs Temperley played?
- Patronato vs Temperley is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Presbítero Bartolomé Grella, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 34% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.