Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio El Gigante del Norte, Salta, Provincia de Salta
The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Gimnasia Y Tiro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez. The most likely score is 0-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
A very open match: only 60 Elo points separate Gimnasia Y Tiro (1,802) and Tristan Suarez (1,863).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Gimnasia Y Tiro have 7 wins, 5 draws and 3 defeats; Tristan Suarez have 8, 4 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | San Martin S.J.(away) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Central Norte(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Nueva Chicago(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Temperley(away) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Agropecuario(home) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Almirante Brown(home) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 10, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(away) | 2-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Club Atlético Güemes(away) | 3-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(home) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 3 meetings: 0 Gimnasia Y Tiro win(s), 1 draw(s), 2 Tristan Suarez win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Tristan Suarez 2-1 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 2, 2025 | Tristan Suarez 1-0 Gimnasia Y Tiro | Primera Nacional |
| Mar 30, 2025 | Gimnasia Y Tiro 1-1 Tristan Suarez | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Tristan Suarez vs Gimnasia Y Tiro on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Gimnasia Y Tiro score 1.0 and concede 0.7 goals per match over their last 15; Tristan Suarez score 1.1 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 26% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gimnasia Y Tiro | 1.0 | 0.7 | 7 | 6/15 | 3/15 |
| Tristan Suarez | 1.1 | 0.7 | 9 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Gimnasia Y Tiro sit 7th in Primera Nacional (38 points from 26 matches) and Tristan Suarez sit 1st (48 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tristan Suarez | 25 | 13 | 9 | 3 | 28 | 13 | 48 |
| 7 | Gimnasia Y Tiro | 26 | 10 | 8 | 8 | 27 | 25 | 38 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez?
- The Footlab model calls this one tight: 34% for Gimnasia Y Tiro, 35% for a draw, 31% for Tristan Suarez.
- Where and when is Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez played?
- Gimnasia Y Tiro vs Tristan Suarez is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio El Gigante del Norte, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 26% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.