Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 29Kick-off on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio de Colegiales, Vicente López, Provincia de Buenos Aires
The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Nueva Chicago. The most likely score is 1-0.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
A very open match: only 46 Elo points separate Colegiales (1,762) and Nueva Chicago (1,716).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colegiales have 6 wins, 4 draws and 5 defeats; Nueva Chicago have 3, 3 and 9.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Almagro(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | San Miguel(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Patronato(home) | 2-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Gimnasia Jujuy(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 26, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Atlanta(home) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 17, 2026 | All Boys(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | San Martin Tucuman(home) | 2-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Jul 25, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(away) | 0-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 5 meetings: 1 Colegiales win(s), 1 draw(s), 3 Nueva Chicago win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Apr 26, 2026 | Nueva Chicago 0-0 Colegiales | Primera Nacional |
| May 17, 2014 | Colegiales 0-1 Nueva Chicago | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Dec 3, 2013 | Nueva Chicago 2-0 Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Apr 3, 2012 | Colegiales 3-1 Nueva Chicago | Primera B Metropolitana |
| Oct 21, 2011 | Nueva Chicago 1-0 Colegiales | Primera B Metropolitana |
Last archived meeting: Nueva Chicago vs Colegiales on Apr 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colegiales score 1.1 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Nueva Chicago score 0.7 and concede 1.2. The model gives a 37% probability of over 2.5 goals and 35% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colegiales | 1.1 | 0.9 | 6 | 5/15 | 5/15 |
| Nueva Chicago | 0.7 | 1.2 | 3 | 5/15 | 4/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colegiales sit 12th in Primera Nacional (31 points from 25 matches) and Nueva Chicago sit 14th (29 points from 25 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 | Colegiales | 25 | 8 | 7 | 10 | 23 | 25 | 31 |
| 14 | Nueva Chicago | 25 | 7 | 8 | 10 | 20 | 24 | 29 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago?
- The Footlab model makes Colegiales the favourite at 62%, against 26% for a draw and 12% for Nueva Chicago.
- Where and when is Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago played?
- Colegiales vs Nueva Chicago is played on September 5, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio de Colegiales, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 37% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.