Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro: prediction and stats
Primera NacionalRegular Season - 34Kick-off on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, Santiago del Estero, Prov. de Santiago del Estero
The Footlab model makes Club Atlético Güemes the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Almagro. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Club Atlético Güemes (1,650) and Almagro (1,709).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Club Atlético Güemes have 3 wins, 3 draws and 9 defeats; Almagro have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | Atletico DE Rafaela(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 19, 2026 | Chacarita Juniors(away) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Atletico Mitre(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Agropecuario(away) | 0-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 3, 2026 | Tristan Suarez(home) | 1-3 | Primera Nacional |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Colegiales(home) | 0-0 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 15, 2026 | Deportivo Moron(away) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Quilmes(away) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Gimnasia Y Tiro(home) | 0-2 | Primera Nacional |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Midland(home) | 1-1 | Primera Nacional |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Club Atlético Güemes win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Almagro win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 31, 2026 | Almagro 2-0 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 4, 2025 | Almagro 0-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| May 31, 2025 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-1 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Oct 16, 2023 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-0 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 3, 2023 | Almagro 1-1 Club Atlético Güemes | Primera Nacional |
| Jun 19, 2022 | Club Atlético Güemes 1-2 Almagro | Primera Nacional |
Last archived meeting: Almagro vs Club Atlético Güemes on May 31, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Club Atlético Güemes score 0.7 and concede 1.8 goals per match over their last 15; Almagro score 1.0 and concede 1.0. The model gives a 39% probability of over 2.5 goals and 46% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Club Atlético Güemes | 0.7 | 1.8 | 4 | 7/15 | 7/15 |
| Almagro | 1.0 | 1.0 | 5 | 6/15 | 5/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Club Atlético Güemes sit 18th in Primera Nacional (22 points from 26 matches) and Almagro sit 13th (31 points from 26 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 | Almagro | 26 | 8 | 7 | 11 | 21 | 29 | 31 |
| 18 | Club Atlético Güemes | 26 | 5 | 7 | 14 | 21 | 43 | 22 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro?
- The Footlab model makes Club Atlético Güemes the favourite at 35%, against 30% for a draw and 34% for Almagro.
- Where and when is Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro played?
- Club Atlético Güemes vs Almagro is played on October 10, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Arturo Jiya Miranda, in the Primera Nacional.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 39% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
Other matches in the same round
- Oct 10, 2026Chacarita JuniorsvsDeportivo Maipu
- Oct 10, 2026Colon Santa FevsAlmirante Brown
- Oct 10, 2026San Martin S.J.vsTemperley
- Oct 10, 2026AgropecuariovsColegiales
- Oct 10, 2026Atletico DE RafaelavsQuilmes
- Oct 10, 2026Deportivo MoronvsAtletico Mitre
- Oct 10, 2026Ferro Carril OestevsRacing Cordoba
- Oct 10, 2026Godoy CruzvsCA Estudiantes