Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Zorros del Desierto, Calama
The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Santiago Wanderers. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers?
A very open match: only 30 Elo points separate Cobreloa (1,706) and Santiago Wanderers (1,676).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Cobreloa have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Santiago Wanderers have 6, 4 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 24, 2026 | San Luis(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-4 | Copa Chile |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Cobreloa win(s), 2 draw(s), 3 Santiago Wanderers win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 10, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers 5-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Nov 23, 2025 | Cobreloa 2-2 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Nov 19, 2025 | Santiago Wanderers 2-2 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Oct 26, 2025 | Cobreloa 2-0 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Jun 14, 2025 | Santiago Wanderers 5-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2023 | Santiago Wanderers 2-0 Cobreloa | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Santiago Wanderers vs Cobreloa on May 10, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Cobreloa score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Santiago Wanderers score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 53% probability of over 2.5 goals and 55% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cobreloa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
| Santiago Wanderers | 1.5 | 1.5 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Cobreloa sit 1st in Primera B (38 points from 21 matches) and Santiago Wanderers sit 2nd (35 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers?
- The Footlab model makes Cobreloa the favourite at 52%, against 25% for a draw and 23% for Santiago Wanderers.
- Where and when is Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers played?
- Cobreloa vs Santiago Wanderers is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Zorros del Desierto, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 53% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.