Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, Copiapó
The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cobreloa. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa?
A very open match: only 58 Elo points separate Deportes Copiapo (1,647) and Cobreloa (1,706).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Copiapo have 6 wins, 3 draws and 6 defeats; Cobreloa have 6, 6 and 3.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Recoleta(away) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | Curico Unido(home) | 4-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 4-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Union Espanola(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 1-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 2-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Deportes Iquique(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportes Copiapo win(s), 3 draw(s), 3 Cobreloa win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Cobreloa 4-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| Aug 24, 2025 | Cobreloa 1-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera B |
| May 10, 2025 | Cobreloa 3-0 Deportes Copiapo | Copa Chile |
| Apr 19, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 1-1 Cobreloa | Primera B |
| Jan 28, 2025 | Deportes Copiapo 1-1 Cobreloa | Copa Chile |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Cobreloa 4-1 Deportes Copiapo | Primera División |
Last archived meeting: Cobreloa vs Deportes Copiapo on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Copiapo score 1.5 and concede 1.7 goals per match over their last 15; Cobreloa score 1.7 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Copiapo | 1.5 | 1.7 | 3 | 9/15 | 11/15 |
| Cobreloa | 1.7 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Copiapo sit 10th in Primera B (30 points from 21 matches) and Cobreloa sit 1st (38 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Cobreloa | 21 | 10 | 8 | 3 | 38 | 23 | 38 |
| 10 | Deportes Copiapo | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 31 | 31 | 30 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa?
- The Footlab model makes Deportes Copiapo the favourite at 43%, against 27% for a draw and 30% for Cobreloa.
- Where and when is Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa played?
- Deportes Copiapo vs Cobreloa is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Luis Valenzuela Hermosilla, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.