Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 27Kick-off on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, Valparaíso
The Footlab model makes Santiago Wanderers the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Curico Unido. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 23, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido?
A very open match: only 76 Elo points separate Santiago Wanderers (1,664) and Curico Unido (1,588).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Santiago Wanderers have 5 wins, 5 draws and 5 defeats; Curico Unido have 4, 6 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 16, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 13, 2026 | Antofagasta(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | San Marcos de Arica(home) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 5, 2026 | Union La Calera(home) | 0-4 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(away) | 3-1 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 17, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(away) | 0-4 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Deportes Santa Cruz(home) | 1-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 9, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 4, 2026 | Universidad de Concepcion(away) | 3-1 | Copa Chile |
| Aug 1, 2026 | Cobreloa(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Santiago Wanderers win(s), 3 draw(s), 1 Curico Unido win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 16, 2026 | Curico Unido 0-3 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Curico Unido 1-0 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| Jul 5, 2025 | Santiago Wanderers 2-1 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Oct 7, 2024 | Curico Unido 2-2 Santiago Wanderers | Primera B |
| May 19, 2024 | Santiago Wanderers 2-2 Curico Unido | Primera B |
| Jun 26, 2022 | Santiago Wanderers 1-1 Curico Unido | Copa Chile |
Last archived meeting: Curico Unido vs Santiago Wanderers on May 16, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Santiago Wanderers score 1.6 and concede 1.6 goals per match over their last 15; Curico Unido score 1.0 and concede 1.4. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 53% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santiago Wanderers | 1.6 | 1.6 | 4 | 8/15 | 9/15 |
| Curico Unido | 1.0 | 1.4 | 5 | 7/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Santiago Wanderers sit 2nd in Primera B (35 points from 20 matches) and Curico Unido sit 13th (20 points from 20 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | Santiago Wanderers | 20 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 36 | 21 | 35 |
| 13 | Curico Unido | 20 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 18 | 32 | 20 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido?
- The Footlab model makes Santiago Wanderers the favourite at 61%, against 22% for a draw and 17% for Curico Unido.
- Where and when is Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido played?
- Santiago Wanderers vs Curico Unido is played on October 11, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Elías Figueroa Brander, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.