Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta: prediction and stats
Primera BRegular Season - 26Kick-off on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, Santa Cruz
The Footlab model makes Recoleta the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Deportes Santa Cruz. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
A very open match: only 41 Elo points separate Deportes Santa Cruz (1,577) and Recoleta (1,619).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Deportes Santa Cruz have 4 wins, 5 draws and 6 defeats; Recoleta have 3, 7 and 5.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Magallanes(away) | 0-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 17, 2026 | San Luis(home) | 0-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 14, 2026 | Curico Unido(away) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Santiago Wanderers(home) | 1-3 | Primera B |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 22, 2026 | Deportes Copiapo(home) | 2-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 18, 2026 | Deportes Temuco(away) | 1-1 | Primera B |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Rangers de Talca(home) | 4-2 | Primera B |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Union San Felipe(away) | 0-0 | Primera B |
| Aug 2, 2026 | D. Puerto Montt(home) | 0-1 | Primera B |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 0 Deportes Santa Cruz win(s), 2 draw(s), 4 Recoleta win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 9, 2026 | Recoleta 1-0 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Jul 19, 2025 | Deportes Santa Cruz 0-0 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Feb 28, 2025 | Recoleta 3-2 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Jul 31, 2024 | Recoleta 1-0 Deportes Santa Cruz | Primera B |
| Mar 17, 2024 | Deportes Santa Cruz 1-2 Recoleta | Primera B |
| Sep 2, 2023 | Deportes Santa Cruz 1-1 Recoleta | Primera B |
Last archived meeting: Recoleta vs Deportes Santa Cruz on May 9, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Deportes Santa Cruz score 1.0 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Recoleta score 1.1 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 51% probability of over 2.5 goals and 56% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Deportes Santa Cruz | 1.0 | 1.3 | 4 | 8/15 | 6/15 |
| Recoleta | 1.1 | 1.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Deportes Santa Cruz sit 15th in Primera B (16 points from 21 matches) and Recoleta sit 9th (30 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Recoleta | 21 | 8 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 31 | 30 |
| 15 | Deportes Santa Cruz | 21 | 3 | 7 | 11 | 24 | 37 | 16 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta?
- The Footlab model makes Recoleta the favourite at 37%, against 27% for a draw and 36% for Deportes Santa Cruz.
- Where and when is Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta played?
- Deportes Santa Cruz vs Recoleta is played on September 13, 2026 at 08:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal Joaquín Muñoz García, in the Primera B.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 51% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.