Northampton vs Accrington ST: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 28Kick-off on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC)Sixfields Stadium, Northampton, East Midlands
The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST. The most likely score is 1-1. If Northampton wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.8% of the 2,440 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Oct 16, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Northampton vs Accrington ST?
A very open match: only 50 Elo points separate Northampton (1,675) and Accrington ST (1,726).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Northampton vs Accrington ST
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Northampton
4-4-2- 19O. Dale
- 9Matthew Warhurst
- 16J. Wormleighton
- 4J. O'Brien-Whitmarsh
- 8L. Evans
- 24C. Lemonheigh-Evans
- 6E. Moore
- 5J. Guthrie
- 22Joshua Alan Powell
- 44J. Donacien
- 1Z. Jeacock
Accrington ST
3-1-4-2- 23T. Walton
- 39J. Woods
- 33D. Tutonda
- 38C. O'Brien
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 10Alex Henderson
- 22J. Anderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Computed on October 16, 2026 at 12:42 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Northampton have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Accrington ST have 3, 8 and 4.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Cambridge United(away) | 1-2 | EFL Trophy |
| Sep 19, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Sep 12, 2026 | Shrewsbury(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Sep 5, 2026 | Newport County(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10, 2026 | Oldham(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 6, 2026 | Salford City(home) | 1-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 3, 2026 | Cheltenham(home) | 2-0 | League Two |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Sep 22, 2026 | Sunderland U21(home) | 3-3 | EFL Trophy |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Northampton wins, 2 draws, 2 Accrington ST wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Feb 6, 2021 | Accrington ST 0-0 Northampton | League One |
| Nov 14, 2020 | Northampton 0-1 Accrington ST | League One |
| Dec 28, 2015 | Northampton 1-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Aug 29, 2015 | Accrington ST 1-1 Northampton | League Two |
| Jan 31, 2015 | Accrington ST 1-5 Northampton | League Two |
| Sep 20, 2014 | Northampton 4-5 Accrington ST | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Accrington ST vs Northampton on Feb 6, 2021
How many goals should we expect?
Northampton score 0.8 and concede 1.1 goals per match over their last 15; Accrington ST score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 45% probability of over 2.5 goals and 51% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Northampton | 0.8 | 1.1 | 4 | 6/15 | 4/15 |
| Accrington ST | 1.3 | 1.3 | 5 | 9/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Northampton sit 23rd in League Two (7 points from 8 matches) and Accrington ST sit 15th (11 points from 10 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Accrington ST | 10 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 13 | 14 | 11 |
| 23 | Northampton | 8 | 1 | 4 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 7 |
A question about Northampton vs Accrington ST?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Northampton vs Accrington ST?
- The Footlab AI model makes Northampton the favourite at 42%, against 28% for a draw and 30% for Accrington ST.
- Where and when is Northampton vs Accrington ST played?
- Northampton vs Accrington ST is played on January 30, 2027 at 03:00 PM (UTC) at Sixfields Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 45% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.