Colchester vs Shrewsbury: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)JobServe Community Stadium, Colchester, Essex
The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Shrewsbury. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colchester wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.8% of the 5,250 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 10, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colchester vs Shrewsbury?
A very open match: only 36 Elo points separate Colchester (1,658) and Shrewsbury (1,621).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Colchester vs Shrewsbury
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Colchester
4-2-3-1- 9B. Ihionvien
- 12M. Sesay
- 26J. Williams
- 27O. Thorn
- 6P. Digby
- 10J. Payne
- 3E. Iandolo
- 5J. Tucker
- 30K. Vincent-Young
- 20S. Raggett
- 22T. Lo-Tutala
Shrewsbury
3-4-1-2- 9G. Lloyd
- 13J. Davison
- 10T. Sang
- 11K. Berkoe
- 18K. M. Brown
- 2L. Hoole
- 7J. Turner-Cooke
- 6S. Stubbs
- 5W. Boyle
- 3J. Ruffels
- 1William Michael Brook
Computed on November 10, 2026 at 10:41 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colchester have 3 wins, 6 draws and 6 defeats; Shrewsbury have 6, 3 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Worcester City(home) | 1-0 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-3 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Northampton(away) | 0-2 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Chesterfield(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Exeter City(home) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Eastleigh(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 1-2 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Everton U21(home) | 2-1 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rotherham(away) | 3-3 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Crawley Town(away) | 3-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colchester wins, 2 draws, 2 Shrewsbury wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Shrewsbury 2-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Feb 7, 2026 | Colchester 2-0 Shrewsbury | League Two |
| Aug 16, 2025 | Shrewsbury 0-2 Colchester | League Two |
| Nov 4, 2023 | Shrewsbury 3-2 Colchester | FA Cup |
| Feb 27, 2016 | Colchester 0-0 Shrewsbury | League One |
| Oct 10, 2015 | Shrewsbury 4-2 Colchester | League One |
Last archived meeting: Shrewsbury vs Colchester on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colchester score 0.9 and concede 1.4 goals per match over their last 15; Shrewsbury score 1.3 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 47% probability of over 2.5 goals and 52% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colchester | 0.9 | 1.4 | 3 | 9/15 | 5/15 |
| Shrewsbury | 1.3 | 1.5 | 2 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colchester sit 23rd in League Two (12 points from 13 matches) and Shrewsbury sit 15th (18 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 | Shrewsbury | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 17 | 22 | 18 |
| 23 | Colchester | 13 | 2 | 6 | 5 | 12 | 19 | 12 |
A question about Colchester vs Shrewsbury?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colchester vs Shrewsbury?
- The Footlab AI model makes Colchester the favourite at 46%, against 28% for a draw and 26% for Shrewsbury.
- Where and when is Colchester vs Shrewsbury played?
- Colchester vs Shrewsbury is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at JobServe Community Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 47% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.8% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.