Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town: prediction and stats
League TwoMatchday 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Crown Oil Arena, Rochdale, Greater Manchester
The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fleetwood Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Rochdale wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 6,335 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 15, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town?
A very open match: only 0 Elo points separate Rochdale (1,963) and Fleetwood Town (1,963).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Rochdale
4-2-3-1- 39D. Brown
- 45G. Middleton
- 8H. Gilmour
- 11Z. Silcott-Duberry
- 19L. Hannant
- 17B. Adeeko
- 44A. Flint
- 3Kaiden Wilson
- 13O. Adebayo-Rowling
- 21Kane Taylor
- 20Sam William John Waller
Fleetwood Town
3-1-4-2- 19R. Coughlan
- 20A. Loupalo-Bi
- 24Jake Thomas Batty
- 4H. Neal
- 26S. Rooney
- 10M. Helm
- 14L. McCann
- 5F. Potter
- 6R. Bennett
- 16Conor Haughey
- 1J. Lynch
Computed on November 15, 2026 at 04:19 PM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Rochdale have 4 wins, 4 draws and 7 defeats; Fleetwood Town have 5, 3 and 7.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | York(home) | 0-1 | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Fleetwood Town(away) | 2-1 | FA Cup |
| Nov 3, 2026 | Doncaster(home) | 1-4 | EFL Trophy |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Port Vale(away) | 2-4 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Accrington ST(home) | 0-5 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 14, 2026 | Tranmere(home) | 1-0 | League Two |
| Nov 7, 2026 | Rochdale(home) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 27, 2026 | Arsenal(home) | 1-1 | League Cup |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Exeter City(away) | 1-2 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Rochdale wins, 2 draws, 1 Fleetwood Town win.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 Rochdale | FA Cup |
| Sep 26, 2026 | Fleetwood Town 1-2 Rochdale | League Two |
| Jul 20, 2024 | Fleetwood Town 1-1 Rochdale | Friendlies Clubs |
| Jul 17, 2021 | Rochdale 3-3 Fleetwood Town | Friendlies Clubs |
| Apr 10, 2021 | Fleetwood Town 1-0 Rochdale | League One |
| Oct 3, 2020 | Rochdale 2-1 Fleetwood Town | League One |
Last archived meeting: Fleetwood Town vs Rochdale on Nov 7, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Rochdale score 1.3 and concede 2.3 goals per match over their last 15; Fleetwood Town score 1.3 and concede 1.3. The model gives a 49% probability of over 2.5 goals and 54% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rochdale | 1.3 | 2.3 | 3 | 9/15 | 10/15 |
| Fleetwood Town | 1.3 | 1.3 | 3 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Rochdale sit 22nd in League Two (15 points from 15 matches) and Fleetwood Town sit 11th (20 points from 15 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 | Fleetwood Town | 15 | 5 | 5 | 5 | 19 | 18 | 20 |
| 22 | Rochdale | 15 | 4 | 3 | 8 | 17 | 27 | 15 |
A question about Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Rochdale the favourite at 36%, against 28% for a draw and 36% for Fleetwood Town.
- Where and when is Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town played?
- Rochdale vs Fleetwood Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Crown Oil Arena, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 49% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.