Accrington ST vs Swindon Town: prediction and stats
League TwoRegular Season - 43Kick-off on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC)Wham Stadium, Accrington, Lancashire
The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Swindon Town. The most likely score is 1-1. If Accrington ST wins, the most likely score is 1-0.
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 53.9% of the 5,183 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Nov 9, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Accrington ST vs Swindon Town?
A very open match: only 24 Elo points separate Accrington ST (1,678) and Swindon Town (1,702).
Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.
Probable lineup for Accrington ST vs Swindon Town
Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.
Accrington ST
3-4-1-2- 23T. Walton
- 30C. Warren
- 2D. Love
- 14Stefan Mols
- 16Aidan Borland
- 33D. Tutonda
- 10Alex Henderson
- 17D. Matthews
- 5F. Rawson
- 28S. Conneely
- 1L. Moulden
Swindon Town
3-4-2-1- 23A. Drinan
- 25J. Thomson
- 2M. Clark
- 24M. Virtue-Thick
- 19J. Snowdon
- 26D. Butler
- 7T. Nichols
- 6J. Ball
- 5S. Negru
- 34B. Kirkman
- 1C. Ripley
Computed on November 9, 2026 at 10:59 AM (UTC).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Accrington ST have 4 wins, 8 draws and 3 defeats; Swindon Town have 4, 3 and 8.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Wycombe(home) | 0-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Northampton(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Rochdale(away) | 5-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | York(away) | 1-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Gillingham(home) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7, 2026 | Milton Keynes Dons(away) | 1-2 | FA Cup |
| Oct 31, 2026 | Rotherham(home) | 2-1 | League Two |
| Oct 24, 2026 | Bristol Rovers(away) | 0-0 | League Two |
| Oct 20, 2026 | Barnet(away) | 3-1 | League Two |
| Oct 17, 2026 | Walsall(home) | 1-1 | League Two |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 1 Accrington ST win, 5 draws, 0 Swindon Town wins.
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| Sep 26, 2026 | Swindon Town 1-1 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Apr 18, 2026 | Swindon Town 2-2 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Oct 18, 2025 | Accrington ST 4-0 Swindon Town | League Two |
| Mar 22, 2025 | Swindon Town 0-0 Accrington ST | League Two |
| Nov 30, 2024 | Accrington ST 2-2 Swindon Town | FA Cup |
| Nov 16, 2024 | Accrington ST 2-2 Swindon Town | League Two |
Last archived meeting: Swindon Town vs Accrington ST on Sep 26, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Accrington ST score 1.7 and concede 1.3 goals per match over their last 15; Swindon Town score 1.0 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 44% probability of over 2.5 goals and 50% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accrington ST | 1.7 | 1.3 | 4 | 10/15 | 7/15 |
| Swindon Town | 1.0 | 1.5 | 1 | 8/15 | 8/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Accrington ST sit 9th in League Two (19 points from 14 matches) and Swindon Town sit 13th (19 points from 14 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 9 | Accrington ST | 14 | 4 | 7 | 3 | 23 | 17 | 19 |
| 13 | Swindon Town | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 15 | 17 | 19 |
A question about Accrington ST vs Swindon Town?
Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.
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How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Accrington ST vs Swindon Town?
- The Footlab AI model makes Accrington ST the favourite at 43%, against 29% for a draw and 28% for Swindon Town.
- Where and when is Accrington ST vs Swindon Town played?
- Accrington ST vs Swindon Town is played on April 24, 2027 at 02:00 PM (UTC) at Wham Stadium, in the League Two.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab AI model gives a 44% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 53.9% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.