Match

Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Román Valero, Madrid

Colonia MoscardóGalapagar

The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Galapagar. The most likely score is 1-1. If Colonia Moscardó wins, the most likely score is 2-1.

Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome in 54.4% of the 4,623 matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Nov 6, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?

A very open match: only 57 Elo points separate Colonia Moscardó (1,791) and Galapagar (1,735).

46%26%28%
Colonia Moscardó winDrawGalapagar win

Computed by the Footlab AI model from our own data only, with no AI analysis.

See the probabilities after AI analysisThe AI adds press reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

Probable lineup for Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar

Computed by Footlab AI from our own data only: recent lineups, squads and known absences. It does not take the press or last-minute absences into account.

Colonia Moscardó

4-3-3
  1. 9Dani Segovia
  2. SSamu Guillén
  3. 19Dzhoshkun Temenuzhkov Mihaylov
  1. 10Crespo
  2. MM. Sennouni
  3. 22Julio Cidoncha
  1. 20M. Télis
  2. NNacho Recalde
  3. 3Borja Paris
  4. MMiguel García
  1. 13Guille Pérez

Galapagar

Not enough data to predict the Galapagar lineup.

Computed on November 6, 2026 at 01:59 PM (UTC).

See the lineup updated by the AIPress reports and last-minute absences, in the Footlab AI app. Sign-in required.

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colonia Moscardó have 6 wins, 6 draws and 3 defeats; Galapagar have 6, 4 and 5.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colonia Moscardó
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Oct 31, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-0Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026Rayo Vallecano II(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Las Rozas(home)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 10, 2026Real Aranjuez(away)1-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Pozuelo Alarcón(home)5-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Galapagar
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Nov 1, 2026Trival Valderas(away)2-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 25, 2026RC Alcobendas(home)4-1Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 18, 2026Móstoles(away)0-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 11, 2026Leganés II(away)3-2Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 4, 2026Cala Pozuelo(home)1-3Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 4 meetings: 2 Colonia Moscardó wins, 0 draws, 2 Galapagar wins.

DateScoreCompetition
Mar 24, 2024Galapagar 0-1 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Nov 5, 2023Colonia Moscardó 3-1 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 10, 2022Colonia Moscardó 1-2 GalapagarTercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 8, 2021Galapagar 2-1 Colonia MoscardóTercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Galapagar vs Colonia Moscardó on Mar 24, 2024

How many goals should we expect?

Colonia Moscardó score 1.5 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Galapagar score 2.0 and concede 1.7. The model gives a 55% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colonia Moscardó1.50.958/154/15
Galapagar2.01.7112/1511/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colonia Moscardó sit 2nd in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (17 points from 9 matches) and Galapagar sit 5th (15 points from 9 matches).

2026-27 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
2Colonia Moscardó945018817
5Galapagar9432191615

A question about Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?

Ask Footlab AI: lineups, absences, player form, stats, how the match could unfold.

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Sign-in required. No odds displayed, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab AI compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. When bookmakers publish odds for the match, their consensus is built into the calculation: that is what proved most accurate on past matches. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar?
The Footlab AI model makes Colonia Moscardó the favourite at 46%, against 26% for a draw and 28% for Galapagar.
Where and when is Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar played?
Colonia Moscardó vs Galapagar is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Román Valero, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab AI model gives a 55% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
Footlab AI's cards found the right outcome (home win, draw or away win) in 54.4% of the matches already evaluated, against 33.3% for random guessing, a level comparable with the bookmakers' favourite. The comparison with bookmakers and the breakdown by competition and Elo gap are published on the accuracy page.

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Next match: Colonia Moscardó and Galapagar

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