Where and when is Móstoles vs Trival Valderas played?

Móstoles vs Trival Valderas is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.

Will there be over 2.5 goals?

The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.

How reliable is this prediction?

The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Match

Móstoles vs Trival Valderas: prediction and stats

Tercera División RFEF - Group 7Group 7 - 11Kick-off on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC)Estadio Municipal de El Soto, Móstoles

Móstoles

Trival Valderas

The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Móstoles. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 25, 2026 — the full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?

A very open match: only 75 Elo points separate Móstoles (1,755) and Trival Valderas (1,829).

Móstoles win27 %

Draw25 %

Trival Valderas win48 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Móstoles have 2 wins, 6 draws and 7 defeats; Trival Valderas have 9, 5 and 1.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Móstoles
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
May 10, 2026	A Madrid III(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 3, 2026	Villanueva Pardillo(home)	3-5	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 25, 2026	Pozuelo Alarcón(away)	0-2	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 19, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Trival Valderas
Date	Opponent	Score	Competition
Jun 20, 2026	La Nucía(away)	0-1	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 14, 2026	La Nucía(home)	0-0	Tercera División RFEF - Promotion - Play-offs
Jun 7, 2026	Las Rozas(home)	3-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 31, 2026	Las Rozas(away)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
May 24, 2026	Leganés II(home)	1-1	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 3 Móstoles win(s), 0 draw(s), 3 Trival Valderas win(s).

Date	Score	Competition
Apr 12, 2026	Trival Valderas 1-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Dec 7, 2025	Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Jan 28, 2024	Móstoles 3-1 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Sep 10, 2023	Trival Valderas 2-1 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Feb 5, 2023	Móstoles 1-0 Trival Valderas	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7
Oct 2, 2022	Trival Valderas 3-0 Móstoles	Tercera División RFEF - Group 7

Last archived meeting: Trival Valderas vs Móstoles on Apr 12, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Móstoles score 1.1 and concede 1.5 goals per match over their last 15; Trival Valderas score 1.5 and concede 0.7. The model gives a 56% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

Club	Goals scored / match	Goals conceded / match	Clean sheets	Both teams scored	Over 2.5 goals
Móstoles	1.1	1.5	0	10/15	4/15
Trival Valderas	1.5	0.7	7	7/15	5/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Móstoles sit 7th in Tercera División RFEF - Group 7 (51 points from 34 matches) and Trival Valderas sit 2nd (60 points from 34 matches).

The current season has no played match yet: final standings of the 2025-26 season.

Final 2025-26 standings
#	Club	P	W	D	L	GF	GA	Pts
2	Trival Valderas	34	18	6	10	50	36	60
7	Móstoles	34	14	9	11	51	45	51

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Móstoles vs Trival Valderas?: The Footlab model makes Trival Valderas the favourite at 48%, against 25% for a draw and 27% for Móstoles.
Where and when is Móstoles vs Trival Valderas played?: Móstoles vs Trival Valderas is played on November 15, 2026 at 05:00 PM (UTC) at Estadio Municipal de El Soto, in the Tercera División RFEF - Group 7.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?: The Footlab model gives a 56% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?: The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.