Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and stats
Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado
The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Minnesota United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.
This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy
Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.
Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,754) and Minnesota United FC (1,787).
What is the recent form of both teams?
Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Minnesota United FC have 3, 6 and 6.
The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Diego(away) | 0-3 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Los Angeles FC(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Sporting Kansas City(home) | 2-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 2, 2026 | Austin(home) | 1-0 | Major League Soccer |
| Jul 26, 2026 | St. Louis City(away) | 0-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Date | Opponent | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 23, 2026 | San Jose Earthquakes(away) | 5-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 20, 2026 | Atlanta United FC(home) | 1-2 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 16, 2026 | Real Salt Lake(away) | 1-1 | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 12, 2026 | Atlante FC(home) | 3-1 | Leagues Cup |
| Aug 8, 2026 | Tigres UANL(away) | 0-0 | Leagues Cup |
What does the head-to-head say?
Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colorado Rapids win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Minnesota United FC win(s).
| Date | Score | Competition |
|---|---|---|
| May 14, 2026 | Minnesota United FC 0-1 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 28, 2025 | Colorado Rapids 1-1 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 10, 2025 | Minnesota United FC 1-2 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| Sep 29, 2024 | Minnesota United FC 3-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
| May 26, 2024 | Colorado Rapids 3-3 Minnesota United FC | Major League Soccer |
| Aug 31, 2023 | Minnesota United FC 3-0 Colorado Rapids | Major League Soccer |
Last archived meeting: Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids on May 14, 2026
How many goals should we expect?
Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.
| Club | Goals scored / match | Goals conceded / match | Clean sheets | Both teams scored | Over 2.5 goals |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colorado Rapids | 0.8 | 0.9 | 7 | 4/15 | 4/15 |
| Minnesota United FC | 1.5 | 1.5 | 2 | 12/15 | 9/15 |
Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.
Where do both teams sit in the table?
Colorado Rapids sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and Minnesota United FC sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).
| # | Club | P | W | D | L | GF | GA | Pts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 | Colorado Rapids | 21 | 9 | 1 | 11 | 30 | 28 | 28 |
| 10 | Minnesota United FC | 21 | 7 | 7 | 7 | 27 | 29 | 28 |
Verdict, probable XI and verified absences
The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.
Open the full match card in the app
No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.
How does Footlab compute this prediction?
The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy
Frequently asked questions
- Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
- The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Minnesota United FC.
- Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC played?
- Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC is played on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
- Will there be over 2.5 goals?
- The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
- How reliable is this prediction?
- The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.
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