Match

Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC: prediction and stats

Major League SoccerRegular Season - 32Kick-off on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC)Dick's Sporting Goods Park, Commerce City, Colorado

Colorado RapidsMinnesota United FC

The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Minnesota United FC. The most likely score is 1-1.

This model is measured at 53.9% 1X2 accuracy on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. See the measured accuracy

Probabilities recomputed on Aug 26, 2026. The full match card is recomputed continuously until kick-off.

Who will win Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?

A very open match: only 33 Elo points separate Colorado Rapids (1,754) and Minnesota United FC (1,787).

Colorado Rapids win42 %
Draw26 %
Minnesota United FC win31 %

What is the recent form of both teams?

Over their last 15 matches in all competitions, Colorado Rapids have 6 wins, 2 draws and 7 defeats; Minnesota United FC have 3, 6 and 6.

The competition is shown for every match: in pre-season, several of these games are friendlies.

Colorado Rapids
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Diego(away)0-3Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Los Angeles FC(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Sporting Kansas City(home)2-0Major League Soccer
Aug 2, 2026Austin(home)1-0Major League Soccer
Jul 26, 2026St. Louis City(away)0-1Major League Soccer
Minnesota United FC
DateOpponentScoreCompetition
Aug 23, 2026San Jose Earthquakes(away)5-1Major League Soccer
Aug 20, 2026Atlanta United FC(home)1-2Major League Soccer
Aug 16, 2026Real Salt Lake(away)1-1Major League Soccer
Aug 12, 2026Atlante FC(home)3-1Leagues Cup
Aug 8, 2026Tigres UANL(away)0-0Leagues Cup

What does the head-to-head say?

Across the last 6 meetings: 2 Colorado Rapids win(s), 2 draw(s), 2 Minnesota United FC win(s).

DateScoreCompetition
May 14, 2026Minnesota United FC 0-1 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Sep 28, 2025Colorado Rapids 1-1 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
Aug 10, 2025Minnesota United FC 1-2 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
Sep 29, 2024Minnesota United FC 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer
May 26, 2024Colorado Rapids 3-3 Minnesota United FCMajor League Soccer
Aug 31, 2023Minnesota United FC 3-0 Colorado RapidsMajor League Soccer

Last archived meeting: Minnesota United FC vs Colorado Rapids on May 14, 2026

How many goals should we expect?

Colorado Rapids score 0.8 and concede 0.9 goals per match over their last 15; Minnesota United FC score 1.5 and concede 1.5. The model gives a 54% probability of over 2.5 goals and 58% for both teams to score.

ClubGoals scored / matchGoals conceded / matchClean sheetsBoth teams scoredOver 2.5 goals
Colorado Rapids0.80.974/154/15
Minnesota United FC1.51.5212/159/15

Over the last 15 matches in all competitions.

Where do both teams sit in the table?

Colorado Rapids sit 7th in Major League Soccer (28 points from 21 matches) and Minnesota United FC sit 10th (28 points from 21 matches).

2026 standings
#ClubPWDLGFGAPts
7Colorado Rapids219111302828
10Minnesota United FC21777272928

Verdict, probable XI and verified absences

The full match card recomputes this prediction continuously until kick-off: multi-market verdict, player-by-player probable XI and web-verified absences.

Open the full match card in the app

No odds, no affiliation: the method is published and the accuracy is measured.

How does Footlab compute this prediction?

The model combines both teams' Elo ratings (anchored by competition pool), their recent form weighted by opponent strength, home advantage and a Poisson matrix for scorelines. Its accuracy is measured continuously on the predictions actually published. Methodology and measured accuracy

Frequently asked questions

Who is the favourite for Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC?
The Footlab model makes Colorado Rapids the favourite at 42%, against 26% for a draw and 31% for Minnesota United FC.
Where and when is Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC played?
Colorado Rapids vs Minnesota United FC is played on October 15, 2026 at 01:30 AM (UTC) at Dick's Sporting Goods Park, in the Major League Soccer.
Will there be over 2.5 goals?
The Footlab model gives a 54% probability of at least three goals in this match.
How reliable is this prediction?
The Footlab model is measured at 53.9% correct 1X2 outcomes on a temporal hold-out, against 33.3% for random guessing. The breakdown by competition and Elo gap is published on the accuracy page.

Other matches in the same round

Next match: Colorado Rapids and Minnesota United FC

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